Bollard reveals tale of deposit guarantee scheme
The Crown retail deposit guarantee scheme that picked up the tab for the collapse of South Canterbury Finance was hastily crafted in a war room in Wellington on a Sunday in October 2008 in response to fears of a run on banks.
The story of the creation of this "massive intervention" in the economy pushed through under emergency provisions of the Public Finance Act while an election was under way is told in a new book by Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) Governor Alan Bollard.
The scheme was "an awful thing,",Dr Bollard said. Neither he nor his colleagues were happy about New Zealand taxpayers having to guarantee deposits but there was no choice after Australia announced a scheme.
In a new book Crisis: One Central Bank Governor and the Global Financial Collapse, Dr Bollard says that demand for $100 bills shot up in this country after Lehman Brothers collapsed in September 2008.
The central bank started hearing stories of people "stuffing bundles of cash up the chimney or burying them in the garden," which fortunately never made it into the media.
The RBNZ had doubled its stock of new notes a few years earlier following the Sars and avian influenza scares so had supply to meet demand.
By the second week of October the RBNZ was on full alert and was keeping in close touch with Finance Minister Michael Cullen.
"We agreed to take the next step in case the crisis worsened," Dr Bollard writes.
Prime Minister Helen Clark wanted to announce the possibility of a scheme on Sunday October 12 as part of the launch of the Labour Party's 2008 election campaign.
Late on Saturday the RBNZ started hearing rumours of an Australia scheme. They were confirmed by a telephone call from Australian Prime Minister Kevin Rudd to Miss Clark in the middle of the day on Sunday.
"We had no choice I feel at that stage," Dr Bollard said. Money could have flowed to Australian banks on Monday. A scheme was announced and officials set to work.
Dr Bollard said no one liked using emergency provisions but that was precisely what they were there for.
He said John Key and Bill English, now the country's prime minister and finance minister, were briefed and could have blown it up into an election issue but did not.
"I actually thought that both the outgoing government and the opposition were very, very careful and I have no complaints," Dr Bollard said.
The New Zealand Business Roundtable criticised the scheme and there was vigorous table-thumping and phone calls from Australian banks operating in New Zealand who were indignant that they had to pay fees for it.
"But having dealt with them for six years as bank regulator, I have become hardened to some of their arguments," Dr Bollard said.
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Comments and questions8
makes you wonder about transparent democracy and how many other deals have been done out of the gaze of those who now pick up the tab?
Alan Bollard's story (as reported) doesn't really square with the position of the RBNZ and Treasury in their advice to the government on 10th October 2008, and now more than ever, policy advisers, ministers and the public should recognise that the scheme was not a success.
Firstly, it was not needed to 'save' our financial system or our banks. RBNZ and Treasury advice on Friday 10th Oct 2008 clearly stated that New Zealand's major banks still had access to funding, including funding on the supposedly closed US commercial paper market (this was also confirmed on subsequent Financial Stability Reports).
Secondly, even if some of New Zealand banks had have faltered or failed, this does not mean that the New Zealand financial system was in jeopardy. The legal framework covering registered banks enables a large failed New Zealand registered bank to be put into statutory management, closed, creditors and depositors claims partly converted into equity, and re-opened, and could have done this kind of 'open bank resolution' within a few business days and without excessive disruption to the financial system or bank customers, and, importantly, without using taxpayer funds to socialise the banks losses or protecting bank creditors from taking their losses.
Thirdly, the overall effect of the scheme is, now more than ever, become clear: it propped up weak and faltering financial institutions with liquidity support when their liquidity problems were caused by their questionable solvency, which in the end caused their failure notwithstanding the scheme. If Allied Nationwide and SCF had have failed a year or 18 months earlier, and without taxpayer support for their creditors, I believe their losses would have been smaller, and the health of the financial system, by allocating their losses sooner, would have been better, not worse.
Indiscriminate depositor confidence in weak and faltering financial institutions (even if they're large) is NOT a good thing. The reality is that the NZ investing public and the wholesale financial markets were willing to supply strong financial institutions with funding even during the height of the crisis. Why should the lack of funding to weak or faltering financial institutions be called a crisis? To me it is just how things should be, not a market failure in need of correcting.
I think the question begs: Should our Reserve Bank Governor be publishing a book? When you consider his position I wouldn't have thought this to be a wise move. After he leaves, sure, but whilst still in power? Dodgy. He also must love the limelight. Got stars in your eyes Bollard?
Dr. Bollard has written a book on the financial crisis that he thinks is behind him. The crisis is still in it's infancy, and the governor of the Reserve Bank is none the wiser. Oh dear.
Mr Bollard probably knows his book will be a sequel and is just getting the first edition out now...Maybe he should have called it the double dip......
What a well written post!
If the intended effect was to save the finance companies left - did it really work? The few rubbish ones that haven't gone will be gone by Dec 31 next year - leaving only the good ones who prob would have survived anyway.
I wonder if the GG actually helped in the demise of SCF - since they went on an orgy of dodgy properrty lending when they got it.
The public reaction to this bail out is far more serious than the govt realises and could have negative consequences for it in the next election.
David Hillary is right. It was unnecessary corporate welfare and was always going to protect the weak and prop them up all be it on a temporary basis but in doing so increase their ultimate losses and the cost to taxpayers.
What sticks in my craw and others is that some of us had the nous to invest wisely and now we are punished for doing so.
Alas this is the way of all governments who continue to punish the goos citizens and reward the bad citizens by dumb governance
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