First post-budget poll has Labour-Green block neck-and-neck with National
National's support has slipped in the first major post-budget opinion poll, released last night - leaving it short of a majority and reliant on the Maori Party support if an election were held.
A One News-Colmar Brunton poll has National slipping from 51% (in a late March poll) to 47%.
Labour climbs 4% to 33%.
The Greens are up two points to 13%.
Combined, Labour and the Greens have 46%.
NZ First was down 1% to 2%.
The ACT, Conservative, Maori and Mana parties are steady on 1%.
The poll would translate to National holding 58 seats in the 120-seat parliament (plus overhang), and the centre right block 60 assuming United Future and ACT each held their single seat - leaving the a National-led government reliant on the Maori Party to pass legislation.
Labour and the Greens would hold 59 seats.
The budget failed to attract significant controversy bar the government's push to reduce teacher ratios.
The poll surveyed 1005 eligible voters and has a margin of error of 3.1%.
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Comments and questions20
You got to be joking. Haven't we all learn from those hideous three terms under the socialist red party?
God you Tories are so deluded, seems like you all spend a lot of time on the net calling the best government this country has had in recent times a communist party (utter cr*p, what is this cold war america? snap out of it you pathetic fools.),You guys and your cr*p rhetoric and deluded ideology have ruined the WORLD economy, and have done nothing but harm this one. Idiots. And re the article, "failed to produce significant controversy". You guys obviously have your own little new station that tells you what you want to hear. National are taking a dive, you fake red neck Turkeys are gonna take a dive with them, your numbers up. Enjoy your just desserts, and we'll try and piece together what your dick head leaders have ruined, once again. Or do you ink its a good idea to sell profitable assets? When you're having trouble paying your bills? Really? What school of accounting did you mouth breathers go to?
It’s not surprising the polls have registered a drop for National. The socialist rag, The New Zealand Herald, has been conducting a campaign to undermine the government for some time. Why anyone would want to bankrupt New Zealand by allowing a Labour / Green coalition is either madness or self-serving nose in the trough stuff. Being a Red Neck in this country is not an insult but a badge of honour but in your case being a Douche bag is not.
Seriously, I can send you the number of a psychologist. Labour/Greens wasted the 00's and taxed us to spend on their social engineering and election bribes leaving us the economic millstones of WFF, interest-free students loans, a bloated and inefficient public service and a stunted ability to survive the GFC. National turned it around somewhat without a tax and spend attitude of the socialists, but I agree they have a bit more to go to recover this nation's capability and growth.
RightWingMoronbaiter aka LeftWingMoronButtLicker just had the rotten luck of being born in the wrong century. He'd be right at home in some old Soviet city ruins back then, unemployed and warming himself by the alley fires.
Or in China back in the 60s waving the red book.
We effectively have two labour parties. The bold steps that would distinguish National are not being made.
Its not what National is doing that is closing the polls, its what its not doing.
If the Labour party drongoes had selected a "street fighter" like Cunnliffe, they would be miles ahead of Key now. Labour is only gaining support because more and more people are only now finding who the real John Key represents, not because they like Labour. Shearer is will never be a PM!
The wake up call for people who believe in the healthy future of NZ.To think our future could be controlled by an Aussie Commie Norman, and a Maori anarchist,Turei FFS.
Holy cr*p-sticks. Next they will disinter Comrade Clark and drag Zur Michael Cullen (it's a Dutch 'knighthood') from the money trough, and the Auckland departure lounge won't cope.
Key might be a disappointment --and I've preached that from the get-go (he's a bookmaker with a ready smile....that's all), but the alternative with the Smarmy Ocker and the TT Lightweight are the nuclear bomb we've been so obsessed with avoiding..... all under a plastic green cloak made in China....to reflect what a Super Con the "greens" are. ETS anyone? Turbo-charged? You bet. Aaaaughhhhhh. Help
In reply to right wing maxterbater, no matter the toss NZ is doomed when you have a M.M P system!! There will never be a effective governing body because not one party can goven on there true ideals and promises made because a Insobordent minority of one seat can hold power. HOW SCREWED up is that?
You're absolutely correct. Its paralysis by analysis. This country will never ever climb from the abyss, unless MMP goes the way of the dodo bird
"NZ First was down 1% to 2%.
The ACT, Conservative, Maori and Mana parties are steady on 1%."
Yet the margin of error is 3.1% - so how on earth can they measure any of these minor parties either up or down?
Seems there's a huge credibility gap in the poll somewhere then?
The only "poll" that will matter will be the one in 2014 - and by then Labour will have imploded in a fetid cess pit of self-interested factions all vying for the leadership mantle after rolling Shearer. So greedy will be their lust for the leadership, they will be blind to the fact it's a poisoned chalice and also that they are now the minor party to the Greens.
The left will be a complete cluster-f**k, all promising to write massive cheques for the voters that someone else has to pay for and the realistic, pragmatic Kiwi voter will see the bribes for what they are and vote again for a proven leader, not a noisy bunch of rabble squabbling over the baubles of power at any cost - like what's happening now with the Aussie Labor Party...'nough said.
National would rate better if Key would stop making so many bad decisions;this is where a right wing party-Act,Conservative- could be helpful
WG
Dear Willie national should be the act party (DOH) but they play the stupid M.M.P game
Inspite of the fact that most of the media has been so pro left with their reporting -National is still scoring close to one in every two votes - that's every second person! John Key is still the best PM we've seen for decades - he's honest, reliable and keeping on track towards the goal - and that is, bringing NZ up to the top of the OECD on every important measure. It's just going to take more time and some serious hard work to change mindsets around the need to increase productivity and ensure we have a business friendly ecconomy, so that real & productive jobs can be created - and that personal financial sucess & responsibility is celebrated and indeed incentivised.
Cry this beloved country ( with apologies to Sir Laurens Post) A country with massive potential, steeped in mediocrity under MMP, harpooned by teachers unions, with the hand-brake of public service in full parking mode, enhanced breeding incentives for children to have children, and Iwi screwing Maori. What future can there be for our children?
There is none and therein lies the tragedy. There is no plan for the future. Same shite, different day. Think for a minute, what would the state of the economy be if not for Fonterra? It doesn't even bare thinking about.
The demands from Maori do nothing for this country other than drag it down.
Typical right wing fundamentalists. When the polls swing the other way, they start the propaganda machine. Doesn't matter where you go in the world, ultra right wing fundamentalists are the cause of all evil. USA, Iran, Venezuela, Australia, Germany, Indonesia etc.
It's time these people are taught to respect not to suppress the democracy process.
Hey John Key - still waiting on your 170,000 Ghost Jobs!