Internet Mana will pick up three seats at the September 20 election, according to the combined wisdom of the 7000 registered traders on Victoria University's online predictions market, iPredict.
Following the announcement of a formal alliance between the Mana and Internet parties, the combined Internet Mana Party is now forecast to enter Parliament with three MPs. Despite this, a coalition involving Labour, Green, NZ First, Internet Mana and the Maori Party would still be short of the 61 seats required to govern
National would, however, require the support of all three of its current support parties — ACT, UnitedFuture and the Maori Party — in order to be able to govern without having to rely on Winston Peters’ NZ First Party.
Of major parties, National is expected to win 44.68% of the party vote, up from 43.67% last week. Labour is down to 28.71%, from 29.22% last week, while the Green Party is down marginally to 10.24%, from 10.54% last week.
Elsewhere, NZ First is expected to win 5.7% of the party vote, up from 5.6% last week. The Conservative Party’s forecast party vote is up slightly to 3.8% from 3.6% last week, although is short of the 5% threshold required for parliamentary representation unless it wins an electorate seat. ACT is down to 2.3% from 3.4% last week and UnitedFuture is up to 0.5% from 0.4% last week.