Labour-Green bloc ahead of National – poll
The latest One News-Colmar Brunton poll has the Labour/Greens bloc edging ahead of National for the first time since the election.
As the largest individual party, National would still have first dibs on forming an MMP government.
But even if United and ACT retained their seats it would need the four Maori Party MPs on board to form a majority government, a scenario that might play in the back of Prime Minister John Key's mind as he manoeuvres around water rights and asset sales.
But in the complex matrix of MMP, even that scenario assumes the Maori Party maintains its three Maori electorate seats, which cannot be taken for granted given Labour ran a very close second in two of them at the last election.
The poll has National down 3% (since August 5) to 44%
Labour is up 2% to 34%, and Greens are steady on 12%.
Colin Craig's Conservative Party doubles support to 2% – level pegging with NZ First.
ACT and Mana on 1%.
If the numbers would translate to National winning 56 seats in Parliament, two less than the centre-left bloc of Labour (43) and the Greens (15).
If NZ First remained under 5% (again, no given with with party's track record of spiking around election time), National could govern if the minor parties retained their seats and it secured support from ACT (1), United (1) and the Maori Party (3).
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Comments and questions18
Thats all well and good but would NZ really want these people to run the country. Labour has a non person as aleader and the greens would turn the clock back 100 years.
Is that all the right wing clichés you could fit in one sentence, get off your Ark times have progressed unlike the rigid old men on the right Is that all the right wing cliques you could fit in one sentence, get off your Ark times have progressed unlike the stiff shirts on the right
National has done that.
Fundamentalist Christians such as those that make up a large portion of National are what hold us up hundreds of years, or perhaps a couple of thousand regarding scientific advances...Not sure what you're on about.
More 'tolerance' from the intolerant Leftards
This could be good news for exporters, if anything is going to frighten investors out of NZ, (and the $ down) the thought of a Labour Gov. being wagged by a green tail should just about do the trick.
Tell me again the airfare to Aus.?
And hey Dotcom? you just gotta be pleased you're going to the ol' US of A now?
Yeah because even despite our low taxes and the Christchurch boom we still have a record number of kiwis crossing the ditch. What was the name of that commission Dr Brash was heading up?
Good riddance. Would you like help booking your flight? I am glad to see you go and would be more than happy to help.
Before you offered, did you realise that booking flights needs a modicum of intelligence? You should only offer to help if you are able.
i hope the Greens keep pushing 'Austrian economics'
The Conservatives will reach the threshold, just you wait and se.
Soooo who is actually leading the labour party these days, I never hear much about them as of late ??
Great news, the lefty Auckland City Council is doing so well under Len. I can't wait for my taxes to rise another 30% like my rates.
Won't be my kids problem they are already talking about leaving.
Labour -Green bloc? Just say Labour and have done with it
You all miss the point, National are falling, because they are not governing or adapting to conditions, just sticking to a doctine of free market economics, blind to the economy crumbling around them, National are sideline spectators, to foreign speculators.
They are failling to act to maintain the support of the 'swinging voter" the casulties under this "do nothing" Jonkey Government
the "other" combined outfit just happen to be there as the off course substitute.
John Key has lost all his credibility and is selling out NZ to become a satellite of the US. Unfortunately NZ is joining the worser countries in the Western world when it comes to corruption both in the governmental and local Council enclaves. No wonder our bright children are all leaving for Australia or London with the monstrous debt levels. At least there is hope of a bit more honesty all you right wing bloggers once Labour and Greens and possibly Maori party form an alliance which representsa much broader range of kiwis than National and Act!
the big problem you forget for national is the cycle is due now to start blowing in labours direction , they have had two bad elections and by virtue of our election cycle are due are much better result in 2014 . they are just due like the nats under brash pitty brash never had a powerful partner in the house like the greens then add nz first national would have no chance . the media or the forth estate must keep labour under 40% or the key government is finished.
id love to see whats in that not so blind as you think trust of john key , that would be the opening of all books . he is just lining his and his 1%ter mates . the wealthy don't need to open up factories or business they have johnny key handing them the nations wealth on a platter for nicks . tax cuts and cheap national assets thats how the 1%ters work today uncle john sees to them , to heck with the other 99% hes like that guy in America mitt Romney . all polls show the democratic president smashing his conservative counterpart unlike us the Americans no longer be leave in top down economics like you kiwis do . time to wake the heck up kiwis .the brits and the yanks put us to shame.