Labour/Greens start election year with edge over National - Roy Morgan poll

The latest NZ Roy Morgan Government Confidence Rating

The latest Roy Morgan Poll - the first of 2014 - shows a potential Labour/ Greens alliance (46%, up 1%) leading National (43.5%, down 1.5%).

Support for Key’s Coalition partners has slightly improved: Maori Party 2% (up 0.5%), United Future 0.5% (up 0.5%), ACT 0% (unchanged).

Support for the Labour Party has improved to 33.5% (up 3%), while the Greens have fallen to 12.5% (down 2%), New Zealand First 4% (down 1%), Mana Party 0.5% (down 0.5%), Conservative Party of NZ 2.5% (up 0.5%) and Others 1% (up 0.5%).

If a general election were held now the latest New Zealand Roy Morgan Poll shows that the result would be too close to call and depend on minor party support.

The poll was taken January 6 - 19. That is, before respective U-turns by National and Labour as Prime Minister John Key extended an olive branch to NZ First, or Labour abandoned its no-GST-on-fruit-and-veges-and tax-free fiirst-$5000 policies and said it was pro-offshore drilling, but added new spending.

Pollster Gary Morgan says, “Today’s New Zealand Roy Morgan Poll shows a potential Labour/ Greens alliance (46%, up 1%) beginning this election year with a clear lead over the governing National (43.5%, down 1.5%). The closeness of this result means minor parties will play a large role in determining who forms Government after the election.

“If a National Election were held now the latest New Zealand Roy Morgan Poll shows that minor parties including New Zealand First (4%, down 1%), the Conservative Party of NZ (2.5%, up 0.5%), the Maori Party (2%, up 0.5%) and the Mana Party (0.5%, down 0.5%) will determine the shape of New Zealand’s next Government.

“In addition, Internet entrepreneur Kim Dotcom has announced his intention to start a new political party, the Internet Party to contest this year’s election. Dotcom is still facing extradition to the United States in relation to his now defunct file sharing site, Megaupload. The extradition hearing is now due to take place in July 2014 – only four months before the election.”

The latest NZ Roy Morgan Government Confidence Rating has jumped to 139.5pts (up 9.5pts) with 63% (up 4.5%) of New Zealanders saying New Zealand is ‘heading in the right direction’ compared to 23.5% (down 5%) that say New Zealand is ‘heading in the wrong direction’.

The poll was conducted by telephone (landline and mobile), with a NZ wide cross-section of 1,509 electors from January 6 – 19, 2014. Of all electors surveyed 4% (unchanged) didn’t name a party.

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6 Comments & Questions

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Great way to start the year for the Conservatives. At the last election the Conservatives got double what the polls predicted.

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This Government, as with the previous Clark Government, has become arrogant and very self serving. They are now not acting in the best interests of the majority of NZ ers.

As the saying goes, it is time for a change, which is good for the country, and produces new ideas, whether you like the alternative or not.

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I would suggest it could equally be the people of NZ who are becoming arrogant and self serving, either wanting tax cuts - or others to pay for their misfortune or lack of effort. rich middle and poor alike there are many who look to the Government to solve their problems rather than looking in the mirror from time to time.

People often look back to the 50s and the 60s and dream of the better times, but what we had then were people who had been through the horrors of war who were working their butt off to make NZ a better place.

Sure the Government factored but mostly it was the people. Now most of the people just look to the government to solve their problems.

All statements start with - the Government should (or shouldn't) few statements start with I can/will.

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This last sentence is so True !; and sums up what is wrong with the average NZ er's attitude. People are never going to gain a higher standard of living until they make some effort on their own behalf; and this starts with parental attitudes to school learning and attendance.
Some 'full time mothering' of under 5 yr olds would help immensely also.

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In reply to The Roy Morgan Poll, Mr Cunliffe said this is how he always saw it, Labour in front when questioned that he was still far below National he cried "Lies, damned lies, and statistics" Mr Key said 1 poll does not make an election, Mr Peters said "Lies, damned lies, and statistics", Mr Harawira said I am only down half a percent and that’s ok and only half of me is brown. Mr Dunne claimed the poll showed what he always knew he does register with half a percent of NZ. Mr Sharples said ‘Hone who? Whilst Mr Craig questioned if the poll was even taken and if yes was it done with smoke and mirrors?

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I am scared witless of a Labour Greens Mana Coalition . Is any body thinking the same.

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