National's electoral dominance grows

National’s forecast party vote has hit a record high of 49.0% in the latest iPredict weekly snapshot.

Up from 46.5% in last week’s snapshot, this total would be enough for National to comfortably govern alone, according to iPredict’s forecasts.

Based on other forecast electorate and party vote results, National would have 62 MPs in a 121-seat Parliament.

Labour is forecast to win 30.2% of the party vote (down from 31.4% last week), giving it 38 MPs.

The Greens appear to have picked up some of Labour’s forecast support and are predicted to get 8.0% (up from 7.9% last week), giving the party 10 MPs.

Act (4.1%, down from 4.4%) is forecast to get five seats, the Maori Party is forecast to get three (including Dr Pita Sharples retaining Tamaki-Makaurau), while UnitedFuture and the Mana Party are predicted to get two each.

New Zealand First’s chance of reaching the crucial 5% threshold appears to be fading, the Winston Peters-led party’s expected party vote at the election dropping to 4.0%, down from 4.5% last week.

Meanwhile, in economics, forecasts for inflation, the current account deficit, unemployment, the OCR and future Fonterra payouts have all fallen. 

This article is tagged with the following keywords. Find out more about My Tags

Post Comment

5 Comments & Questions

Commenter icon key: Subscriber Verified

Multiply your weekly lossage by how many weeks till the election and it seems you wont get your deposit back

Reply
Share

Outstanding!

National won’t need to do anything and especially so if the AB’s win the RWC.

The “feel good factor” over the entire country will ensure National romp in – and hopefully by the biggest winning margin ever!

Reply
Share

All this "feell good" ju ju is great. To what end? Its like masterb*tion: feels good. doesn't produce life. tends to symbolise labour's 9 years and nationals 3.

Reply
Share

Goofy Gough wants to spend taxpayers money on re-building on swampland with Kiwi taxpayers guaranteeing what no sane re-insurance company will touch. And of course it wasn't an election bribe.....

Reply
Share

The circularity of soft-totalitarianism continues...with these 'sheeple':

http://www.creative.auckland.ac.nz/uoa/tri-research-projects-2011

High density housing...next to transport hubs, Greening, Visioning...sounds suspiciously like UN Agenda 21:

www.democratsagainstunagenda21.com

Frightening people. Frightening times.

UN Agenda 21...the anti people agenda.

Reply
Share

Post New comment or question

Plain text

  • No HTML tags allowed.
  • Web page addresses and e-mail addresses turn into links automatically.
  • Lines and paragraphs break automatically.

NZ Market Snapshot

Forex

Sym Price Change
USD 0.7863 0.0012 0.15%
AUD 0.8936 -0.0023 -0.26%
EUR 0.6209 -0.0007 -0.11%
GBP 0.4905 0.0011 0.22%
HKD 6.0978 0.0078 0.13%
JPY 84.6140 0.4920 0.58%

Commods

Commodity Price Change Time
Gold Index 1241.1 -7.450 2014-10-22T00:
Oil Brent 84.7 0.320 2014-10-22T00:
Oil Nymex 80.5 -1.960 2014-10-22T00:
Silver Index 17.2 -0.318 2014-10-22T00:

Indices

Symbol Open High Last %
NZX 50 5279.7 5299.9 5279.7 0.25%
NASDAQ 4429.2 4435.9 4419.5 -0.83%
DAX 8873.5 9017.8 8940.1 0.34%
DJI 16615.3 16653.9 16614.8 -0.92%
FTSE 6399.7 6403.3 6399.7 -0.17%
HKSE 23296.0 23397.2 23404.0 -0.30%
NI225 15093.8 15232.5 15195.8 -0.37%