National's electoral dominance grows

Free audio stream, including stories that are padlocked on our site. Listen on any device, anywhere. Updated twice daily. The audio stream takes several seconds to start on Android devices.

Launch Radio player

National’s forecast party vote has hit a record high of 49.0% in the latest iPredict weekly snapshot.

Up from 46.5% in last week’s snapshot, this total would be enough for National to comfortably govern alone, according to iPredict’s forecasts.

Based on other forecast electorate and party vote results, National would have 62 MPs in a 121-seat Parliament.

Labour is forecast to win 30.2% of the party vote (down from 31.4% last week), giving it 38 MPs.

The Greens appear to have picked up some of Labour’s forecast support and are predicted to get 8.0% (up from 7.9% last week), giving the party 10 MPs.

Act (4.1%, down from 4.4%) is forecast to get five seats, the Maori Party is forecast to get three (including Dr Pita Sharples retaining Tamaki-Makaurau), while UnitedFuture and the Mana Party are predicted to get two each.

New Zealand First’s chance of reaching the crucial 5% threshold appears to be fading, the Winston Peters-led party’s expected party vote at the election dropping to 4.0%, down from 4.5% last week.

Meanwhile, in economics, forecasts for inflation, the current account deficit, unemployment, the OCR and future Fonterra payouts have all fallen. 


5 · Got a question about this story? Leave it in Comments & Questions below.

This article is tagged with the following keywords. Find out more about MyNBR Tags

Post Comment

5 Comments & Questions

Commenter icon key: Subscriber Verified

Multiply your weekly lossage by how many weeks till the election and it seems you wont get your deposit back

Reply
Share
  • 0
  • 0

Outstanding!

National won’t need to do anything and especially so if the AB’s win the RWC.

The “feel good factor” over the entire country will ensure National romp in – and hopefully by the biggest winning margin ever!

Reply
Share
  • 0
  • 0

All this "feell good" ju ju is great. To what end? Its like masterb*tion: feels good. doesn't produce life. tends to symbolise labour's 9 years and nationals 3.

Reply
Share
  • 0
  • 0

Goofy Gough wants to spend taxpayers money on re-building on swampland with Kiwi taxpayers guaranteeing what no sane re-insurance company will touch. And of course it wasn't an election bribe.....

Reply
Share
  • 0
  • 0

The circularity of soft-totalitarianism continues...with these 'sheeple':

http://www.creative.auckland.ac.nz/uoa/tri-research-projects-2011

High density housing...next to transport hubs, Greening, Visioning...sounds suspiciously like UN Agenda 21:

www.democratsagainstunagenda21.com

Frightening people. Frightening times.

UN Agenda 21...the anti people agenda.

Reply
Share
  • 0
  • 0

Post New comment or question

Plain text

  • No HTML tags allowed.
  • Web page addresses and e-mail addresses turn into links automatically.
  • Lines and paragraphs break automatically.

NZ Market Snapshot

Forex

Sym Price Change
USD 0.6682 0.0000 0.00%
AUD 0.8900 0.0000 0.00%
EUR 0.6004 0.0000 0.00%
GBP 0.4291 0.0000 0.00%
HKD 5.1867 0.0000 0.00%
JPY 82.0970 0.0000 0.00%

Commods

Commodity Price Change Time
Gold Index 1163.5 -2.500 2015-07-02T00:
Oil Brent 62.6 -0.180 2015-07-02T00:
Oil Nymex 56.9 -0.010 2015-07-02T00:
Silver Index 15.6 -0.015 2015-07-02T00:

Indices

Symbol Open High Last %
NZX 50 5841.5 5872.6 5841.5 -0.01%
NASDAQ 5024.3 5027.5 5013.1 -0.08%
DAX 11082.0 11123.2 11099.4 -0.37%
DJI 17763.3 17825.5 17757.9 -0.16%
FTSE 6630.5 6630.8 6630.5 -0.67%
HKSE 26349.8 26402.8 26282.3 -0.83%
NI225 20476.7 20557.5 20522.5 0.08%