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National's electoral dominance grows

National’s forecast party vote has hit a record high of 49.0% in the latest iPredict weekly snapshot.

Up from 46.5% in last week’s snapshot, this total would be enough for National to comfortably govern alone, according to iPredict’s forecasts.

Based on other forecast electorate and party vote results, National would have 62 MPs in a 121-seat Parliament.

Labour is forecast to win 30.2% of the party vote (down from 31.4% last week), giving it 38 MPs.

The Greens appear to have picked up some of Labour’s forecast support and are predicted to get 8.0% (up from 7.9% last week), giving the party 10 MPs.

Act (4.1%, down from 4.4%) is forecast to get five seats, the Maori Party is forecast to get three (including Dr Pita Sharples retaining Tamaki-Makaurau), while UnitedFuture and the Mana Party are predicted to get two each.

New Zealand First’s chance of reaching the crucial 5% threshold appears to be fading, the Winston Peters-led party’s expected party vote at the election dropping to 4.0%, down from 4.5% last week.

Meanwhile, in economics, forecasts for inflation, the current account deficit, unemployment, the OCR and future Fonterra payouts have all fallen. 

More by Niko Kloeten

Comments and questions
5

Multiply your weekly lossage by how many weeks till the election and it seems you wont get your deposit back

Outstanding!

National won’t need to do anything and especially so if the AB’s win the RWC.

The “feel good factor” over the entire country will ensure National romp in – and hopefully by the biggest winning margin ever!

All this "feell good" ju ju is great. To what end? Its like masterb*tion: feels good. doesn't produce life. tends to symbolise labour's 9 years and nationals 3.

Goofy Gough wants to spend taxpayers money on re-building on swampland with Kiwi taxpayers guaranteeing what no sane re-insurance company will touch. And of course it wasn't an election bribe.....

The circularity of soft-totalitarianism continues...with these 'sheeple':

http://www.creative.auckland.ac.nz/uoa/tri-research-projects-2011

High density housing...next to transport hubs, Greening, Visioning...sounds suspiciously like UN Agenda 21:

www.democratsagainstunagenda21.com

Frightening people. Frightening times.

UN Agenda 21...the anti people agenda.