Maori Party co-leader Pita Sharples could be ousted from Parliament at this year’s election, users of prediction website iPredict have forecast.
According to this week's iPredict snapshot, Labour Party MP Shane Jones is now forecast to beat Dr Sharples for the Tamaki-Makaurau seat, with a 55% probability of winning compared to 42% for the incumbent.
As a result, the Maori Party is expected to hold just two seats, the same number of MPs as the Mana Party is forecast to secure.
Meanwhile the Green Party is now expected to have 10 MPs after the election, up from nine last week, with a forecast 7.6% share of the party vote (up from 7.2% last week).
National is forecast to get 45.0% (steady) giving it 57 MPs out of the 120-seat Parliament, while Labour is forecast to get 32.7% (up from 32.3% last week), giving it 41 MPs.
Act is forecast to get 4.9% (up from 4.2% last week) and six MPs, while UnitedFuture (1.3%, down from 2.3% last week) is predicted to get two MPs.
New Zealand First is forecast to get 4.7% of the party vote, leaving it without any MPs as it is not predicted to win any seats.
This article is tagged with the following keywords. Find out more about MyNBR Tags
- Parent, widow of Pike River casualties fail to force review of decision to drop charges against Whittall
- iPredict decision the work of 'officious aliens' – Crampton
- Joyce associates openly talking about leadership change
- Scentre Group to sell three Westfield malls to NZ firms for $549m
- High Court hears allegations over redacted report in Trends R&D funding case
Most listened to
- Tim Hunter on why Veritas is doing it the hard way
- Matthew Hooton on whether Steven Joyce will be the next national leader
- Rodney Hide on why all city planners should be fired
- Nevil Gibson discusses his latest Editor's Insight on films
- The NBR crew throw around some of the week's top stories
- Rob Hosking breaks down the political and economic week that was
- "A tragedy" - David Farrar on his disappointment with Simon Bridges
- New F&P product pipeline exciting, says Macquarie senior investment adviser Brad Gordon
- Taupo Motorsport Park executive director Tony Walker on the park's rebranding
- NZIER senior economist Christina Leung on why she does not think the OCR will hit 2%
- NBR's Cameron Officer talks about the NBR Car of the Year 2015
- John Barnett on Brewer: ‘Boy, has he got a bit to learn’