Signs of a property market pick up
A rise in buyer interest has come out strongly in the latest BNZ-REINZ residential market survey, which also showed a number of positive indicators for the property market.
The latest survey had 742 responses, who reported a substantial lift in buyer interest over the past four weeks and a strong rise in the number of people going through open homes.
Thirty per cent of agents said they had noticed an increase in first home seekers but one per cent reported a decrease in interest from investors.
Fourteen per cent of agents now report that they believe prices are rising after survey results from the previous three months showed they believed they were decreasing.
Perceptions that prices are rising were strong in most parts of Auckland and Christchurch, but prices were perceived to be falling in Tauranga, New Plymouth and Invercargill.
BNZ chief economist Tony Alexander said the market isn’t leaning more toward the buyer or the seller.
Agents were split when asked whether sellers or buyers were more motivated.
Twenty three per cent of agents reported that they are noticing more people going through open homes.
This was a sizeable rise from the 10 per cent who noticed improved activity in May.
Twenty per cent noticed there were more sales going unconditional and less falling over because of factors such as builders reports or inability to sell their own home.
Auction clearance rates rising were noted by 16% of agents, after the previous two months showing clearance rates falling.
Thirty per cent of licensed real estate agents feel there are more first home buyers in the market. This is the fourth month in a row that the result had been positive, up from 19% in June.
In the May survey 7% of respondents felt prices were falling, in June a decrease was noted by 5%, while July saw 14 per cent feeling that house sale prices are rising.
The result suggests that buyers are not only going to open homes and completing offers, but capitulating on the prices vendors are asking.
The main factor stopping buyers is a perceived lack of good quality listings with 34% of agents noting this as a reason for reticence. The factor is noticeably more important that in June’s survey. Slightly fewer buyers hold back now because they feel they will not be able to sell their own house and only 23% cite an expectation of price declines as a deterent.
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Comments and questions6
These "stats" indicate that the bulk of the respondents perceive no change at all. But you've made a fine effort to wring a story and a headline out of them.
overall the market is still dropping in all provinces and as usual aucklanders continue to delude themselves that they're more special than the rest of the country and are happy to pay more for houses just to show how special they are...!!
Surveying the "perceptions" of salespeople (aka agents, the most trusted and respected of all professions no doubt) is probably the worst way of assessing what's really going on here.
There is a glut of properties on the market that just won't sell and I can only pity agents struggling in the marketplace right now, The market is in a real decline, as evidenced by lower commissions, salespeople losing their jobs, and generally unfavourable market indicators such as migration overseas IMHO. I don't think talking up the future is prudent without fundamentals to back it up.
The days of the quick flick for a few tax free bucks is over guys, anyone that buys now will probably lose money unless they plan to hold for the very long term.
Well said... lies and statistics comes to mind
are you John Hatfield alias Hone Harawira?
The market has been depressed since November 2007 and is in a correctional phase, it will be a long time before we see the values of 2006/07.
When the market is suppressed skilled real estate agent are in demand and appreciated, when the market is buoyant agents are easy targets by armchair critics tainted with envy, however think about this: real estate agents, lawyers and accountants who would be most likely be in the custody of the corrections department?
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