Unexpected 6.8% jobless rise to highest in two years
"The future will not be a repeat of the past so we should expect the unexpected."
Featured commentBUSINESSDESK: New Zealand's unemployment rate expectedly rose in the second quarter as the pool of jobs shrank for the first time since December 2010.
The kiwi dollar dropped on speculation a weak labour market gives the central bank more room to cut interest rates.
The unemployment rate increased 0.1 percentage points to 6.8%, the highest since June 2010, according to Statistics New Zealand's household labour force survey.
Economists surveyed by Reuters were expecting the headline rate to come down to 6.5%. The number of unemployed people rose 1.1% to 162,000.
The number of people employed shrank 0.1% to 2.23 million, short of the 0.3% growth forecast by economists. The participation rate fell 0.3 percentage points to 68.4% after swelling to a three-year high in the March quarter, lower than the forecast 68.6%.
The number of people not in the labour force rose 1.1% to 1.1 million.
The New Zealand dollar dropped to 81.17 US cents from 81.56 cents immediately before the figures were released. The trade-weighted index fell to 73 from 73.25.
The employment data “will be read by the market as opening the door for the RBNZ to ease, though we doubt it, bar a shock from Europe”, said Robin Clements, senior economist at UBS New Zealand.
The overall fall in employment, combined with a growing working-age population, resulted in a decrease in the employment rate, Statistics NZ said in its report.
The survey comes after separate government figures this week showed employers added to their payrolls and needed more paid hours in the second quarter.
Today's figures showed a 0.5% quarterly increase in total actual hours worked to 73.8 million. Still, that was down 0.4% from the same period a year earlier.
New Zealand's labour market has been struggling to recover after the worst recession in two decades came during the global financial crisis, and a series of earthquakes in Canterbury destroyed the country's second-biggest city.
Employers turned around their reliance on part-time staff in the quarter, with a 3.4% fall in people working shorter hours to 511,000, while at the same time increasing full-time jobs 0.8% to 1.72 million.
The level of under-employed, which measures people in part-time work seeking more hours, rose to 109,500 from 107,600 in the March period.
The number of jobless people, which includes people available but not seeking work, fell to 271,200 from 273,300.
Auckland's unemployment rate fell to 7.3% as more people stopped looking for work, while Canterbury's rate of joblessness increased 1 percentage point to 6.5% as the number of employed people dropped by almost 19,000.
Wellington's unemployment rate increased 0.3 percentage points to 6.4% as its working age population increased to a one-year high as the region added more jobs in the period.
Northland's unemployment rate of 9.9% was the highest in the country, followed by 7.4% in Manawatu-Wanganui and Auckland. Taranaki had the lowest rate at 3.8%.
The number of people employed in construction fell to 171,000 from 174,600 in March, while manufacturing dropped to 246,500 from 257,000.
The number of professional, scientific, technical, administrative and support service jobs rose to 259,300 from 247,100.
Youths aged 15 to 24 not in employment, education or training (NEET), a target demographic for the government, fell to 13.1% from 13.5% in the March quarter.
New Zealand's unemployment rate was 14th lowest among OECD nations, behind the Czech Republic's 6.7% and ahead of Israel's 7.1%.





















Comments and questions23
Good to see we're well on our way towards those 175,000 new jobs mentioned in the budget..
Who is surprised?
*The number of people employed shrank 0.1% to 2.23 million, short of the 0.3% growth forecast by economists"
Don't any of these fools know, the amount of employment is regulated by the amount of money in circulation?
Bet you they were educated at Auckland Uni. same place as Mr Bollard.
The future will not be a repeat of the past so we should expect the unexpected.
"Northland's unemployment rate of 9.9% was the highest in the country"
... while the affected iwi are vigorously opposing mineral exploration in case it brings more jobs.
It may also be on prime "growing" land
'Tis more than just iwi, Alan - farmers, maybe even people like you...
The history of mining companies in leaving land in a state that you would want to live in (or near), and the inability of our elected leaders to prepare for the consequences and enforce obligations...
Think leaky buildings but with toxic waste and waterways. Who got held to account and who's (yet again) paying for the cleanup?
"Official figures catch up with what anyone in the street could have told you a long time ago. Economists surprised."
These boffins (probably earning $100K plus), only need to come to my manufacturing business which is a bell-weather of the economy, and I'll tell them everything they want to know about how things really are at 'street level', for free. 'Ugly' is a word I would use. Very ugly.
Until the Government (national & local) do something about lowering red tape, bureaucratic interference and high cost, nothing is going to change. These figures are surprising good considering the brakes imposed.
Stephen - NZ is consistently rated every year as the 1st, 2nd or 3rd most DE-REGULATED economy for business in the world.
Try moving to Australia and see the amount of regulation, bureaucracy and red tape for business there. Ywe praise their economy and say we should be emulating it!
And if you do business in the UK (now) and the USA you will understand how over regulated NZ is. I do not know about Australia but do know many of the Asian countries are great to deal with.
So Stephen, please explain the consistent results every year in which neither the USA or the UK feature.
I work from practical experience. You compare restructuring you business in the US (it does depend on which state you are in) and NZ. In Thailand and the US you can buy the land and have a reasonable new factory up and running in less than 12 months. Try doing that in NZ.
Of course, how they deal with you, versus what they have to deal with in their own countries are not necessarily the same.
And he/she is right about the survey. It's published by the conservative US think tank, the Heritage Foundation in conjunction with the Wall Street Journal. It's called the annual Index of Economic Freedom ranking 184 economies.
Last year, Hong Kong was first, Singapore second, New Zealand third, and Australia moved up to 4th place.
The Canadian Fraser Institute's Economic Freedom of the World last year had the same first three placings with Australia in 5th.
The World Bank in 2005 and 2008 in its "Doing Business" surveys, praised New Zealand as being the most business-friendly country in the world, after Singapore. Even our hiring laws were ranked by the World Bank in 2008 as the 13th most business friendly out of 178 countries.
Stephen - where is your reply to this?
How could 3 people dislike this? Obviously the truth hurts.
6.8% probably means 10%+ in the real world, where not everyone who is unemployed is claiming any benefit.
You are wrong in your observation. These figures are not based on those claiming an unemployment benefit. They are based on the quarterly Household Labour Force Survey, and reflect those available for work and seeking work. The real world that you refer to.
And how does the survey know exactly who is available for work or looking for work?
...and has anyone on this site ever been contacted for, or know of anyone who has ever been contacted for, the Household Labour Force Survey? Anyone...?
NZ unemployment rate up, Aus unemployment rate down... again
Perhaps we should ask China for our jobs back?
People, its a race to the bottom, driven the greed of the few
Regretfully, Govt policies are not improving our depressed economy.
We look forward to the day when we have policy makers who are more successful;but where these are to come from is unclear.
liberte
l