Advance votes total 1.2 million, smashing record

Voters queue at a booth near a Britomart railway station exit in the Auckland CBD on Thursday

At least 1,240,740 (38% of those enrolled) have cast an early ballot, according to the Electoral Commission's final advance voting update, issued at 2pm today. 

Advance voting continued to accelerate on Friday, with 253,000 hitting booths (see charts below). 

Last election, 717,579 (or 29.7% of registered voters) cast an advance vote, more than double 2011. This year, participation was helped by more booths (485 vs 295 in 2014) and more in public places

But despite the heavier participation overall, the under-30s continue to lag their (poor) participation in 2014. See the latest enrolment stats below.

A spokeswoman says counting of advance votes will begin from 9am on Election Day, with totals not revealed until after polling places close at 7pm.

The increase in advance voting means New Zealand should get a good handle on the state of the parties soon after 7pm.

It also means the Election Day ban on political advertising is increasingly redundant. 

Although early voting is heavy overall, new statistics from the commission show the under-30s continue to slack.

That has to be of concern to Labour and the Greens, given polls from Horizon and others show young people disproportionately support the challenger parties. According to Horizon's numbers, 52% of those aged 18-24 support Labour vs 25% for National. 

A summary of enrolment statistics to September 22 says just 69.83% of 18 to 24-year-olds have enrolled. That's even worse than the 2014 election, when 77.90% of 18-24s enrolled.

Of 25 to 29-year-olds, only 76.79% are enrolled this time around, vs 81.82% by election day 2014. 

Anecdotal evidence pointed to a possible last-minute youth-surge on Thursday and Friday, with some enrolling as they voted. But final statistics won't be known until special votes are counted. Special vote counting starts on Sunday and can take up to 10 days.

While the under-30s slacked, enrolment has again been high in older age brackets, which heavily skew toward National.

Overall, 91.10% of the eligible voting population was enrolled by September 22, slightly down on election day 2014 (92.6%).

Source: Horizon

Enrolment to Sept 22, 2017

 

Enrollment to Election Day, 2014

Source: Electoral Commission. Advance voting surges ahead of 2014


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58 Comments & Questions

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NBR is great to read for business. Extremists like Hooton trying to write about politics is not a good read. Switching you off for a couple of months, though no doubt if Labour win, he'll be allowed to keep frothing at the mouth.

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I'm off to do some advance voting today, and a lot of people in my age cohort have done the same already - we're working too darn hard for our smashed avo on toast, new BMW's and SkyTV subs to have just one day to get out for the vote!

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Ahhh...smashed avocado. The true evil behind NZ's housing crisis.

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They're just so darn tasty, we weak-willed, me me me, younger generation just can't help ourselves. If any party had a policy on free avos they would be getting 100% of the 18 to 35 bracket vote!

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The ironic thing is that, after you have bought a house, you can have smashed avocado whenever you want. Our avocado tree is pretty much constantly in fruit so there are only a few months when no avos are available!

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I don't think that's any help to the young Kiwis coming through now though. They don't get affordable housing fostered through government policy, like the boomers got access to.

They might still get the odd slice of avocado.

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are you again referring to the Auckland Kiwis

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Great idea - might go plant one this weekend and call it "The Irony Tree"!

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Wonder how many people are voting for increased taxes. Water Tax, Farm animal tax.better known as a Fart Tax a Fuel Tax .A cancelled $80.00 a fortnight for wage earners. A cancelled $26.00 a fortnight ,for pensioners and superannuands.Not forgetting a massive tax on our Farming Community,the backbone of our economy and lifestyle. A possible opening of NZs doors, for huge influx of Syrian and other countries Refugees bordering on the same type of mentality as shown by the German PM Angela Merkel,and all influenced by the waste of space UN.
Not me i am voting for our stable economy ,not a busted one,and making sure NZ does not become the Venezuela ,or some mad dog socialist country,because the ideology of a few bitter socialists can be satisfied.

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A stable economy.... the horse has bolted. I am sorry you are now yesterdays man

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Short memory Ionis. Cullen and Clark reigned over dark depressive and negative times with high interest rates and high taxation. They are back pulling Jacinda's strings now so be very careful, if you think there's some wrong now, wait till that lot runs the show.

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the economy is stable

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Cows emit methane via burping. It says a lot when this incorrect rhetoric keeps coming out despite repeated correction.

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Colin is right - it is better known as the fart tax even if it isn't....

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Whether it comes from the cow's mouth or the anus, Lance, it really doesn't matter. It's methane and it comes from the cow and Labour and the Greens want to tax it. After all, as I'm sure you know, whatever orifice it emits from, they are both just the ends to a very long tube.

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Why am i voting. To make sure NZ is not plunged into a basket case,by joined at the hip Labour/Green cabal. I shudder to think where the good ship NZ would have fared,if the two mentioned mad dog socialist parties had been on our Treasury Benches,when the GFC,and the terrible Christchurch earthquake happened.
I was so proud that people like John Key and Bill English steered NZ into the position ,which we enjoy today,even though the financial costs were massive.It is no coincidence that NZs well being and living standards,make us a country to live in ,and is sought by many. Even our economy has been called Rockstar . It just beggars believe why anyone would want to change any part of it .Maybe the politics of envy, and a deliberate move to divide NZs against each other. One of the dastardly plans is separating the Rural Farming Community ,against Urban Community.That appears to be happening. Also turning people say under 40 years of age ,against people over that age. What an indictment being played out with the hidden agenda of potential sicko socialists.That is why i am voting for the status quo,keep NZ a country to be proud of,not somewhere where the doors get opened to every dead beat and neer do well,that takes the fancy of one of the UNs ex employees.Not forgetting anyone who can chant comrade 15 times,in a five minute speech to potential communists.

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Based on the typing practices (or lack thereof), I'm going to take a punt and suggest that perhaps Colin and David are one and the same...

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All the residents from my mum in-laws Retirement Village (83 of them), arranged to go and cast their votes today. From what she was telling me, it portents well for a National victory. As she just said, "We're not fools. Roll on April !!"

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Wonder who or what kind of person will be dancing in the streets if the new Government happens to be joined at the hip Labour/Green Partys'. Maybe our out of control biased Mainstream Media. Picture, Print, Sound. From the get go the main Australian owned Print media anointed Miss Ardern to the point of ad nausem. They were joined at the hip by the taxpayer funded Sound and Picture once more to the point of ad nausem anointed Miss Ardern.For some unknown reason ,they have been out to smash the best financial and living standards in NZ that most other countries in the world would die for.Also the same media have supported the massive assault on the backbone of our economy the Farming community. The misguided ideology of a few NZs may cause the majority
of NZs unknown financial pain and hardship yet to be played out.Of course up to now, nothing has changed. Maybe in a short time with our biased one sided media,hell bent of putting the boot into common sense voting. It will be a disaster for the well being and many ,many other positives that NZs take for granted. I
if there is a change of Government .Some people will do well making bumper stickers that read. Dont blame me ,i voted National.To make sure the country of NZ ,is still the envy of the world,and not a cess pot for terrorists and no hopers.

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Well John Shamrock, your comments are the best bit of motivation so far for anyone to not vote National.

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Where ignorance is bliss,it is folly to be wise. If you don't know, what you don't want to know. Your ignorance is complete.

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'If you don't know, what you want to know', is not a sentence. Who knows what it means !

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wrong again

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If national get back in, the Chinese will be back in droves,driving up house prices, national don't care about the future generations in this country , all they are looking after is themselves, me,me,me,and their rich mates.The Chinese government I see are are going to relax the rules on money coming out of China and where do you think that money is going to go,on housing, great for NZ (not), the next government have to act a lot smarter than national has for the last 9 years.

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They'll still be here in droves if they want to come. Do you really think Arderna and co have the ability to unravel trade agreements - that were put in by Labour originally - to tell foreigners they cant buy? It wont happen, under any party.

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What a betrayal of young Kiwis we've seen from this government!

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The betrayal came from Helen Clark when she instructed her trade minister to go get that first trade deal signed with China, no matter what it takes, get the bloody thing signed! Yes give in to the most favoured nation status demand, what the heck! Can't you see how busy I am getting future voters in from UNHCR ? What do you mean about "unintended consequences" ? Just do what you're told!

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It is National who wrote into the trade agreement with Korea that overseas buyers could not be prevented. It's National that's sat and done nothing to prevent this selling out of NZ from under the next generations.

They could have acted, but they chose not to. Or they chose to in a way that would grow the wealth of their 3.4 properties per MP, even if it meant sacrificing the younger generations.

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to be clear.. the most favoured nation clause means we cannot treat Chinese any worse than our most favoured nation.. typically Australia on virtually all agreements. Should National have argued the point with Korea... maybe... but the issue you are referring to lies with the Chinese FTA.. signed by Labour.

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Introduce a stamp duty levy on foreign buyers and that will have a real effect. I understand the trade agreements allow for this. Otherwise we will be tenants in our own country and eventually lose our soverienty to the Chinese who only want our land for food production

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We're already welcoming their spies into our political parties with welcome arms.

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The only party the young ones are interested in, is the Friday and Saturday night one. Ye har.

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Showing you age, or lack of heavy drinking children Ivan. WW is the Party, Wasted Wednesday when Auckland pubs discount the booze to hook in the punters.

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I must be showing my age, when I write something that can be understood. You on the other hand? Ever heard of the word ambiguous? If you don't know that it means google it, or just ask any Asian student in your class.

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Even Auckland Uni bar "roars" with business as students get their "living allowance"! When that closes, they remnants swarm down to Shortland street bars for some residual brain damage, often stopping off to urinate near the Myers building.

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Well one thing is for sure the voting and drinking age should be returned to 20 years. Give a break to the police, the parents and the medical staff.

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How close to the final result was the early voting party vote last election? Would be interesting to know if we can go to bed once the early vote result is revealed. From memory the party vote swings a bit during the night as different electorates are counted, but perhaps the early vote is a good indicator?

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Yes apparently you can go to bed early when the early votes are revealed. Yes you can. That must be a relief. Unless the early votes are possibly not going your way, then you will have to stay up with the rest of the country who actually give a sh*t

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Two questions. It appears that the increased early voting is due to demand for online voting. That's great. Is it time for the Electoral Commission to put in place a mandatory online voting system for all elections and dump the old paper ballots?

And should online voting take place after all political campaigns have stopped, so that everyone has complete information on all the voter bribes, policy announcements, and policy u-turns? Maybe online voting should take place for 10 days after the campaigns stop.

Should the Electoral Commission look into harsher penalties and/or increased incentives for those under 35 to register to vote - and then vote?

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Why?

If people dont care/dont want to vote why would you force them to do so? Clowns like the Bill and Ben party will be the ones that benefit.

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Yes please replace the paper ballots with online voting, they are so hard to hack.

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as Winston Churchill said if your not a Socialist at 20 you dont have a heart and if your not a conservative at 40 you dont have a brain. the graphs bear this out.

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More likely it bears out a cynical growth of selfishness. The same selfishness that has seen this boomer generation deny the same benefits they received to those following them (because they want lower taxes), while still expecting the young generations to hand over their hard-earned cash when the boomers hit 65, regardless of need. A net-negative generation, as economic contributors.

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The Lazy under 30 year generation want cheap as chips housing and a free lunch and cannot be bothered getting out of bed to vote!

Too Lazy to afford the cheapest interest Interest rates in history 4% and will never start the housing ladder in Papakura it has to be Remuera or nothing!

Jacinder owns a million plus home in Point Chev! Does she have your first home pimpled back?

Lets Do This... then flush later!

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Come on, let's not be too hard on them. The weekend is the worst possible time for them to have to vote. What with them all heavily drinking at night, and hung over the rest of the time. I'm surprised any of them vote at all.

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Pretty sure this post originated in my posterior, Ted. What a load of crap.

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If Labour wanted the youth vote they could have postured on retirement age like they are on tax. Ardern actually stuffed that up for them quite badly,

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I imagine many in the "younger" generation will be leaving their vote to the last minute, thus delivering a final nail in the coffin to National on election night, just to spice things up... why be predictable?

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The Yoof arent enrolling and those who are enrolled are voting in enough numbers to get Lab/Green over the line. 67% of Yoof SAY they will vote Lab/Green but only 30% are voting.

IMHO it will be Nats/ACT/Maori by a whisker so normal transmission will be resumed.

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I reckon you might be right. We'll continue our flat real GDP, National will up subsidies to property investors and company wages to paper over the housing crisis, and we'll continue to see the kicking of cans down the road for others to pick up. Immigration and foreign buying will be ramped up to benefit those born at the right time, at the cost of young and upcoming Kiwis.

And we'll see more ironic ranting at young Kiwis to stop being so "entitled" to think they should get any such advantages from NZ society as the older folk who preceded them received in their turn. Oh, and to hand over their wages to the old folks as a "pension", despite that.

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Just bear in mind that many of "the older folk who preceded them," paid taxes at a marginal rate of 60%.. No wonder there were advantages to be had from NZ society; and paid mortgage interest at over 20%. I have no qualms about receiving a pension now.

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How long did any boomers spend paying 60% tax? Not long at all, no, before plunging it down and removing services from the young?

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I do not recall how long Muldoon's tax ran for, but it was 66% - not 60 that I paid. It was one helluva lot of money.

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You paid 20% mortgage rates for all of about 1.5 years, when 15% was about normal anyways, and it was about 30 year ago. You also bought houses at 2 to 3 times the median income. What's the average in Auckland right now? And how much capital gains have you seen from that nosebleed level? Yeah, thought so...

Let go of your "poor me, I'm a boomer" argument before you embarrass yourself anymore. it's been debunked over and over and over again...!

Source: https://www.teara.govt.nz/en/graph/23100/interest-rates-1966-2008

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By the tone of your post I gain the impression that I am not the only one caught by the "poor me" syndrome.
Furthermore you seem to be consumed by the "blame it all on the boomers" doctrine. Jealousy does not become you.
At least I have the good sense not to live in Auckland.

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I don't think the low numbers of under 30s are Because they are slacking, I think it is more disenchantment with the system of governance we have created. My experience of under 30s is they are generally astute and aware and I have respect for them as a group. Your presumption of slacking I find a little offensive to be honest.

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I can attest as part of that age cohort that there are many feeling disenfranchised youthful voters out there. I'm trying to bring them back from the brink, but I can't do it alone!

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Whinging about the system is as effective as lamenting the tide removing your sand castle. If they are disenchanted and are indeed astute and aware, then they should either be working to obtain the best within the system we have or working to change it. Inaction by supposedly astute people on the Governance of our Country is slacking, at any level.

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