Big Budget month bounce for National

During May support for National was up 8.5% to 54% as positive news on the Budget was progressively released.

The poll (taken May 4 - 17) missed Budget day but took in a period that saw key policies released, such as new rules around foreign and domestic property investors, and ACC cuts, and key developments such as finance minister Bill English confirming his government would miss surplus.

The National-led government has its highest level of support since October 2011 and a large lead over a Labour/Greens alliance with their support at 42% (down 7.5%), according to the latest Roy Morgan poll.

If an election were held now, National would win easily and be able to govern in their own right.

Looking at National's governing partners, support for the Maori Party dropped to 1% (down 0.5%) while support is unchanged for both Act NZ 1% and United Future 0%.

The main opposition parties all took a hit. Labour’s support is now at 25.5% (down 2%), Greens 10.5% (down 3%) and NZ First 6% (down 2.5%). For the parties outside Parliament the Conservative Party of NZ is 1% (unchanged) while the Internet-Mana Party alliance is at 0% (unchanged) and support for Independent/ Others is 1% (down 0.5%).

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Electors were asked: “If a New Zealand Election were held today which party would receive your party vote?” This latest New Zealand Roy Morgan Poll on voting intention was conducted by telephone – both landline and mobile telephone, with a NZ wide cross-section of 866 electors from May 4-17, 2015. Of all electors surveyed 5% (up 1%) didn’t name a party.

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The latest NZ Roy Morgan Government Confidence Rating has risen to 136.5 points, up 1.5 over last month. 

There are now 63% (up 1%) of NZ electors saying NZ is ‘heading in the right direction’ compared to 26.5% (down 0.5%) that say NZ is ‘heading in the wrong direction’. NZ Government Confidence is substantially higher than in Australia – Australian Government Confidence last week was at 99.5pts.

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