Falling exports to Australia knock NZ balance of trade

BUSINESSDESK: New Zealand recorded a bigger-than-expected trade deficit in August, with petrol and machinery exports to Australia shrinking.

The trade deficit was $789 million in August from a revised surplus of $97 million a month earlier, Statistics New Zealand says. That shortfall between exports and imports was wider than the $606 million forecast in a Reuters poll of economists.

The annual deficit of $866 million is bigger than the expected $770 million.

Exports fell 3.4% to $3.32 billion in August compared to the same month a year earlier, with a 17% slide in sales to Australia. New Zealand's neighbour is also its biggest trading partner, with annual exports of $10.27 billion and imports of $7.29 billion.

Foreign sales of crude oil sank 32% to $128 million last month on a seasonally adjusted 28% fall in the quantity sold. Oil export and import figures can be distorted by the timing of individual shipments.

Other petroleum products more than halved to $23 million from the same month a year earlier. Machinery and equipment exports dropped 31% to $138 million in August.

Milk powder, butter and cheese, and casein and caseinates account for some $12.81 billion in annual exports, or 27% of all of New Zealand's merchandise exports. The volume of milk powder, butter and cheese fell a seasonally adjusted 16% to 264,000 tonnes.

That comes as dairy exporter Fonterra today said it missed its forecast payout to farmers because of weaker milk prices and a stronger New Zealand dollar.

The Auckland-based company will make a payout of $6.40 for a full shared-up farmer made up of a farmgate milk price of $6.08 per kilogram of milk solids and a dividend of 32 cents a share. The farmgate milk price was $7.60 a kilogram a year earlier.

The currency recently traded at 81.90 US cents from 82.03 cents immediately before Fonterra's result.

New Zealand's imports slipped 0.4% to $4.1 billion last month, with China still the biggest supplier at $692 million.

ASB economist Jane Turner says the recovery in imports and weaker commodity prices has eroded the national trade surplus and this will continue for the rest of the year.

"As a result of the US drought we now see scope for recovery in NZ export prices for meat and dairy over 2013. This should result in the trade balance stabilising and potentially moving back into a small surplus in 2013 (depending on the performance of other export areas)."

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surprise - surprise
some of us have been telling the ivory tower boys and girls that the engine room is blowing smoke, it has been blowing for some months now and parts of it are starting to cease and fail.
Now the hard data has just arrived in Wellington maybe there will be some concern from the boys and girls and the Jonkey Government.
I think not, after all this is the ultimate outcome of free market doctrine economics, only the strong prosper, and NZ is just a little weak player in a world of big boys to be treated as a play thing by currency speculators.
Jonkey it's time for alternative action, we are sliding into a hole, stop digging!! time to figure a way out

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NZ Market Snapshot


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