Labour at all-time low, Greens surge in new poll

If Metiria Turei's strategy in admitting benefit fraud was to win over soft Labour voters, it's working.

Labour has slumped to its worst ever result in a 1 News Colmar Brunton poll — or at least its lowest point since Colmar Brunton began political polling 22 years ago.

The party has slumped three points to 24% while the Greens are up four to 15%.

National (47%) and NZ First (11%) are steady.

As with other recent polls, National and its immediate allies ACT, UnitedFirst and the Maori Party can't get to a 61 seat majority, leaving NZ First as kingmaker (notably, Winston Peters is one of the few to have held fire on Ms Turei's benefit fraud).

The poll also sees The Opportunities Party double its support to 2%, a new high.

Curia summary

One News Colmar Brunton poll late July 2017

Party Support

  • National 47.0% (nc)
  • Labour 24.0% (-3.0%)
  • Green 15.0% (+4.0%)
  • NZ First 11.0% (nc)
  • Maori 1.0% (-0.8%)
  • United Future 0.1% (-0.1%)
  • ACT 0.3% (nc)
  • Mana 0.0% (-0.3%)
  • Opportunities 2.0% (+0.9%)

Projected Seats

  • National 57
  • Labour 30
  • Green 18
  • ACT 1
  • Maori 1
  • United Future 1
  • NZ First 14
  • Total 122

Preferred PM

  • Bill English 28.0% (+2%)
  • Andrew Little 6% (+1%)
  • Winston Peters 10% (-1%)
  • Jacinda Ardern 6% (nc)

Polling Company: Colmar Brunton

Poll Method: Random Phone

Poll Size: 1,005 voters of whom around 800 have a party vote preference

Undecideds: 16%

Dates: 22 July to 27 July 2017

Client: One News

Report: Colmar Brunton

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