Dollar slips before US CPI as OCR review looms

The New Zealand dollar fell before the release of US consumer prices for June, amid speculation inflation in the world's biggest economy may have accelerated enough to bring forward the timing of interest rate hikes.

The kiwi traded at 86.74 US cents at 5pm in Wellington, from 86.89 cents at the start of the day and from 87.12 cents yesterday. The trade-weighted index declined to 80.77 from 81.05 yesterday.

US consumer prices rose at an annual pace of 2.1 percent in June, unchanged from a month earlier, according to a Reuters survey. That would keep the gain at its fastest since October 2012. The US data comes ahead of the Reserve Bank of New Zealand's review of the official cash rate on Thursday, which is expected to see the OCR lifted a quarter point to 3.5 percent, compared to near zero for the Federal Reserve.

"If US CPI ticks up there could be a significant move up in the US dollar," said Tim Kelleher, head of institutional FX sales at ASB Bank. The kiwi "is looking a little bit defensive ahead of Thursday."

Kelleher expects RBNZ governor Graeme Wheeler, in raising the OCR, may also warn that the currency is over-valued given weaker prices for key New Zealand commodities such as dairy and logs.

The kiwi dollar traded above 88 US cents last week before Federal Reserve chair Janet Yellen gave hints the US economy may be travelling better than thought, global dairy prices fell and New Zealand second-quarter inflation printed weaker than expected.

The New Zealand dollar traded at 92.37 Australian cents, down from 92.72 cents yesterday, and fell to 64.15 euro cents from 64.32 cents. It fell to 50.78 British pence from 50.95 pence and traded at 88.04 yen from 88.18 yen.

(BusinessDesk)


Got a question about this story? Leave it in Comments & Questions below.

This article is tagged with the following keywords. Find out more about MyNBR Tags

NZ Market Snapshot

Forex

Sym Price Change
USD 0.6952 0.0000 0.00%
AUD 0.8901 0.0000 0.00%
EUR 0.5907 0.0000 0.00%
GBP 0.5276 0.0000 0.00%
HKD 5.4294 0.0000 0.00%
JPY 78.9230 0.0000 0.00%

Commods

Commodity Price Change Time
Gold Index 1278.6 -9.430 2017-10-20T00:
Oil Brent 57.8 0.550 2017-10-20T00:
Oil Nymex 51.9 0.580 2017-10-20T00:
Silver Index 17.0 -0.177 2017-10-20T00:

Indices

Symbol Open High Last %
NZX 50 8124.1 8142.3 8124.1 0.07%
NASDAQ 6633.4 6640.0 6605.1 0.36%
DAX 13057.8 13063.6 12990.1 0.01%
DJI 23205.2 23328.8 23163.0 0.71%
FTSE 7523.0 7560.0 7523.0 0.00%
HKSE 28360.0 28519.8 28159.1 1.17%
NI225 21391.0 21489.3 21448.5 0.04%
ASX 5896.1 5924.9 5896.1 0.17%