Poll indicates MMP referendum could be close

A referendum on retaining MMP could be a tight race, a poll released yesterday shows.

The poll, by Research New Zealand, of 500 people found that 45 percent were in favour of retaining MMP, 42 percent were against and 13 percent were unsure.

The poll was conducted between September 8 and 10 and has a margin of error of 4.5 percent

National has confirmed that it will honour its election pledge to hold a referendum on MMP, probably to coincide with the 2011 election.

Prime Minister John Key said recently Cabinet was still working on its details, including how the referendum was structured, what question or questions would be asked and when it should be held.

He felt there was no great groundswell to change the electoral system, but after five elections since it replaced the first-past-the-post system it was time to give voters a chance "to kick the tyres" on MMP.

Research New Zealand director Emanuel Kalafatelis said the poll showed opinion was divided.

Those aged between 18 and 24 were most likely to support MMP with 58 percent in favour, those aged between 55 and 64 were most likely to be opposed with 57 percent against.

The polling company had tracked support for MMP before and after the 2008 election.

In August 2008 46 percent supported MMP and in November it rose to 53 percent.

Mr Kalafatelis believed the drop since the election was significant and showed there was far from overwhelming support for the electoral system.

The company said the poll was not commissioned, but taken as part of its monthly survey of attitudes and opinions.


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12 Comments & Questions

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the questions to be asked should not simply be mmp in or out but should canvas a wider range such as-

*what system should replace mmp?

*should list mps be retained?

*if so,how many?

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I actually supported the SMP option so would like this revisited.

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The most iniquitous issue in MMP is failed electorate MPs regaining seats in the House via the list. MPs ousted by the electorate vote must stay out, until the next election.

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What's the surprise over this result. If I remember rightly MMP only got in by a very slight margin.

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I cannot support an electoral system which allows candidates who have failed electrally to get into Parliament by the back door (party list).
MMP also allows those who no-one voted for into Parliment.
How corrupt is that?
The worst insult you can throw at anybody is that he/she is a list MP.

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FPP you are sadly missed.

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FPP, you are sadly amiss.

I do agree with barring ousted electorate MPs from the list, as much as looking at other electoral systems, like STV

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The MMP referendum could include a referendum on the Maori electorate Parliamentary seats as well. If anything should go first in reforming our voting system, it is the racist Maorielectorate seats. MMP is very much second in the queue on that front.

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When MMP was introduced the electorate was promised this referendum,something most 18 - 24 year olds, who seem to favour it , Im sure dont know. This promise of long ago is being honoured by the current Government so let it happen!

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There should be 3 questions in these polls.
Do you want proportional representation.
If so which system
Do You want First Past the Post.
I like proportional representation otherwise a third party never has a chance of getting going.
But I do not like Mps voted out getting back on the list.
And I think we should have less list Mps.

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If we choose to keep MMP we will be able to change it. How about voting for the party lists? How about no more one man parties? How about a lower threshhold? We will be able to make MMP a much better system with the review that has been promised..

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If we choose to keep MMP we will be able to change it. How about voting for the party lists? How about no more one man parties? How about a lower threshhold? We could make MMP a much better system with the review that has been promised.

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