The Block NZ’s meltdown illustrates the Auckland housing market better than any REINZ data

KeallHauled

Chris Keall

The most gob-smacked expression in Block History: Mark Richardson during the live auction final

We’ve already established that New Zealanders are largely non-ideological, and often look to personality and other non-policy factors.

But what role do general current events play as portents?

Commentator Barry Soper reckons overseas studies have shown a feel-good sports win can affect the vote by about 2%.

He doesn’t cite any references (details, details). But there is some research out there. One US study of numerous elections claims a 0.8% boost to an incumbent if a local team wins within 10 days of an election.

In any case, it stands to reason that the All Blacks steam-rolling the Boks is better for the status quo than a loss.

But what Steve Hansen giveth, reality TV and a cracked fuel pipeline took away on Sunday.

Bidding at The Block NZ live final stalled under the reserve on each of the four homes, better illustrating the slowdown and fall in Auckland property prices better than any REINZ data.

Each townhouse eventually got over the line but with profits of between $1000 and $31,000, chicken feed next to the profits banked by last year’s teams ($380,000, $300,000, $151,000 and $150,000).

There were grizzles on social media that the $1.3m reserves were set too high relative to standalone house prices in the area (not to mention some bizarre sub-plots , including shenanigans over the auction order and a lack of code of compliance certification that would hinder cash buyers; arguably it could have been more of a factor than the cooling market or the ambitious reserve).

But for Auckland property, it was a bad look. And more so because most of the buyers appeared to be straight from a Phil Twyford list — and the only prominent non-Asian bidder was apparently an actor (who launched 1000 memes, one of which is pictured below).

 

 

Some Auckland homeowners (skewing National and centrist) will be as glum as the cast. National will hope swing voters looking to buy a house in the City of Sales will be encouraged, but overall the mood was sour.

Commentator Matthew Hooton saw the spectre of negative equity rising up to frighten the viewing public.

The cracked fuel pipeline to Auckland Airport and delayed flights was also a grim portent. It raises questions of shoddy planning around infrastructure, and under-investment at Auckland Airport (where the government sold its majority stake back when on Winston Peters was Treasurer), and why NZ Refining and the government took until Sunday to publicly react to an incident that occurred on Thursday afternoon.

Maybe there was nothing that could be done to stop a determinedly stupid digger operator from causing damage. But a fuel shortage and cancelled flights are just not a good look in the final days of the campaign.


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This was a complete disaster and utter disaster, well done to the contestants for retaining their composure

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My god, what an utter train wreck that was:

- House reserves set way too high, outlining the ugly greed that is rampant in the market;
- Inability to sell much above the reserve, showing the weakness and fear in the market right now;
- Real estate scumbags badgering attendees in packs to bid higher at all costs (one women bid against herself 4 time!);
- All 4 houses bought by people of Asian origin

This was basically a live broadcast ad to the entire nation for NZ First and Labour!

If you had doubts about who was going to win the election, consider them dispelled now. All I saw last night and today is absolute disgust with what is going on with our housing market.

Change of government dead ahead. Position yourself in the market accordingly!

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Lol. You wish. Dreams are free, Moose! Especially when you speak with such intimate authority about the Auckland housing market but live in Palmerston North!

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Location has nothing to do with it, facts do.

Anyone looking at a chart of average wages to average house prices in Auckland knows the current ratio is totally unsustainable at 10+ times. Are you going to also argue that because I live elsewhere the fact that Auckland prices and sales are trending down now are somehow "fake news"?

Weird...

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Nobody will crash the Auckland economy quicker than Taxinda and Granty Robertson Moose. Why you think this spectacle was a plus for Labour is beyond me. Here's my prediction for the economy under Labour - Stagflation and rising unemployment.

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the way the final of the Block was run. Couldn't help compare it with how Labour'election campaign is being run. They have made many flip flops, maybe five or six. Last on was the CGT panic reigned. . Was deferred until further notice. Now hear Ardern blaming National for the airline fuel shortage. Talk about panic and dance of the desperate. Just so much like the last episode of the Block.

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More possible flip flopping by Ardern on the CGT. Now that their joined at the hip running mates the Green Party have said a CGT or no deal with Ardern. Easily resolved says Ardern" lets do this and Flip Flop again" "Who will notice,as we have the Picture,Print, Sound media outlets under control. Especially the Australian owned Dom Post and NZ Herald. Not forgetting the taxpayer funded RNZ and TVNZ " That would sum it up. Surely Not . Form says they would. Remember the dumping of Privy Council. Dumping of many ,many ,thousands of the elderly, waiting for elective surgery at Hospitals . Closing down of mental Hospitals.their track record of flip flopping is an abomination ,where trust is an item to be disgarded,if the face and circumstances suit,Lets do this."

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I think price too high. You can buy a stand alone house with land.
No one wants to live in Northcote. The rather live in Takapuna.
Only Asian don't care because they have the money.

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Nothing wrong with Northcote!

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Think the Block was a disaster. And maybe even the fuel fiasco and disruption.. Check out what lies ahead in the industrial relations ambush drawn up by the Trade Union Movement against NZ Employers,should there be a change of Goverment. Fuel disruption will just be seen as a mild abberation,when what lies ahead with massive disruption for the whole country.Employers should check it out the planned Industrial Relations ambush by Labour/Green Party.It .reads Like it was written by someone from North Korea.

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And here I was hoping that Ms Collins would stay out of sight and hearing 'til after the election!!
Damn!! This will cost the blue team.

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You should take a grip of yourself mate. Ms Collins is doing her job

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Really, and what job is that, taking free water from our country to sell to any old market that wants to pay for it, no you get a grip

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"... doing her job"! Like what?
Like giving the perception of (ab)using her position of privilege to feather her family's nest"? Like that??

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Fair point...*cough* Oravida *cough*

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It was a pretty accurate potrayal of NZ at the moment. Ridiculous amounts of Asian money out-bidding everyone else for a scarce NZ resource.

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Scarce resource? Land is only scarce because we ration it via council plans

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I think the resource being referred to is dignity.

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So Bob when does a person of Asian decent who hold a NZ passport or who was born in NZ become a New Zealander or are they always Asian because of their ethnicity?
Or is you comment based on anything other than the look of the people?
Its comments like yours that distort the actual story behind the prices, that being that in a downward market the reserves were set too high.

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About a 150/200 years ago quite a lot of land was going in one ethnic direction.
To say it doesnt matter or to suggest this is about race is recently an argument that should find credibility in a business review.
Land is about control.
If youre losing it, youre losing it.
Get the sand out of your ears.

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Reality TV actually depicting reality. As I live and breathe!

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Apparently the digger caused most of the damage 3 months ago and only a pressure change in the pipeline triggered the breach. While this is probably a cue for all sorts of jokes about "digging oneself into a hole" it does prompt other questions.

1/ There is no pipeline redundancy.
2/ Repairs are too slow to be useful.
3/ The only way to strike oil in NZ is by accident.

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Imagine the protests from the greenies for investing in OIL. Oil is bad, haven't you heard?

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are you suggesting the damage to the pipeline is an act of sabotage

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How dose not go?
"Pop goes the weezel? Or pop goes the bubble?
Like Mr smith says. It Is INEVITABLE!

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Good points Chris but Aucklander houseowners will hardly be rushing to vote Labour to get house prices down!

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Some National voters may have the pip that the govt has already gone too far with measures to flatten prices. Could suppress turnout. Anyhow, we'll know on Saturday.

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You can manipulate a few Dollars and Corrupt a TV program ..By getiing a few Lift up $$$ to make who you want to Win and SAVE a TV program that was crap anyway...

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I look forward to an end of the never-ending ads that constantly push the god awful program.

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Why then do you bother watching? I never have.

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I have never watched it. I was complaining about the ads that are always on touting the bloody program. Try to understand what you are reading, so that you don't come across as stupid when you comment wrongly.

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That was a total scandal and rigged. What happen to the auction order as the selling point ? Shameful and disappointed

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If Auckland House prices have stalled and are showing signs of weakness, then surely this begs the question, why does Labour want to introduce a capital gains tax to fix the housing crisis for? Talk about closing the barn door after the horse has already bolted. And that begs the next question why is the Left in this country always a dollar short and a day late on everything?

I didn't watch The Block this season as I found neither the teams nor the houses they were building particularly compelling. In fact, I thought the houses were awful, out of all scale with the neighbouring properties and I felt sorry for the immediate neighbours whose houses are now completely overshadowed and dominated by The Block properties, with all the loss of privacy that that brings. Welcome to your future, Auckland.

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Steve, has it occurred to you that prices beginning to plateau at 10x median income are still unaffordable? That they may need to actually reduce (god forbid) in order to remove ongoing risk from our banking sector? And that imposing a capital gains tax (or any other tool aimed at cooling demand) might prevent the kind of hysteria we have seen over the last 5 years from taking hold in the future? Short-sightedness won't help with issues like this. And if you want to refer to anyone ebing a dollar short and a day late, you might want to consider pointing the finger at the people who've been at the helm for the last 9 years.

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A Labour government actually happening will be enough, CGT unnecessary when prices won't be going up.

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Wrong. Put the CGT in now. Lessen the likelihood that sheer lunacy will again take hold in the future. Seriously, let's not go through this without learning any lessons, eh?

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Like many others running around in circles, you use the term "unaffordable".
Okay could someone please define," unaffordable"? Cos I struggle when it is used to describe a property that has just been sold.
Does it mean the person who 'bought" it, is now not going to pay for it?

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Should I have written "unaffordable to New Zealanders" instead?

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To prevent the money made in Auckland from stuffing the property markets in other NZ cities.

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There weren't many bidders to start with and it only takes a couple of Asian looking bidders to make close-up camera work to make it look like we being taking over by the Chinese.

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i believe some of the bidders were actors, what are the legal implications regarding this practice?

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It should be illegal. I wouldn't be happy if I was a buyer and found out I was bidding against an actor. Surely that's misleading?

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That over opinionated, average opening batsman, gobsmacked, who would have thought that day would ever come?

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Is anyone following the news of the Auckland Council and it's issuing of CCC's. This should be headline news they are not issuing them within the 20 working day SLA, and to date my CCC I've been waiting 70 working days without so much as a peep from them. Perhaps they are too busy consenting the 100+ houses a day and have no capacity for certifying them post build.... I wonder what impact does this have on the average jo bloggs and the residential home insurance during this period post build and pre CCC issued.

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Probably because they've made a large proportion of their planning dept. redundant

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Did you pay your fee?

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Blah blah blah. What pissed me off was that TV3 had the cheek to pull the WIN.......yes WIN!!! from under Stacey and Yanitas feet.
Andy and Nates ( who I thought would absolutely clean up) house didn't sell under the initial Auction so they were out of the running, and then all of a sudden, hello!!!! someone's interested.......yeah right.
TV3.. and Mark Richardson.......it was a disgraceful ending to what was a great show, an absolute sham and you should be ashamed.
They'll be struggling for contestants next year id say.

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I'll bet they won't. Some (most) people will do anything to see themselves on TV these days. Whenever there's the slightest incident around the place, anyone that lives by it, will immediately be outside standing by their gate waiting for the TV cameras to be on them.

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I feel that there were just not enough really serious buyers present (or watching the auctions) or that the buyers present were not made aware of the actual value of the asset they were purchasing. The auction order turned out to be a joke with the dads being allowed to come back in at the last second (going against what their auctioneer had said - their house will now be open to public submissions), and I feel that having the auctions too close to the election, coupled with the fact there were no open homes this year damaged the contestants chances of making bigger profits. For a fully furnished beautiful brand new house in Auckland, I feel the buyers all got an absolute steal! P.s. Going forward, if an auctioneer decides the house can't be sold due to bids being too low, I believe the contestants should not be entitled to a chance at the main prize as technically their house didn't sell first go; but they should be entitled to keep whatever profit they made when it did later sell. Thus making the actual winners this year Stacey and Yanita; not the dads. The producers should be embarrassed as this years auction was a total shambles.

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The ending of the block was disgraceful. There was a winner Stacy and Yanita.

To see Nate and Andy now jumping around and taking the win is a bit hard to stomach

Yesterdays news tomorrow however

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To be fair, Andy and Nate weren't jumping around and were very subdued on camera!

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Just letting you know it was not me digging up the kauri logs, putitng a few knicks in the side and then exporting them as a finnished product to avoid our export or raw native log ban.

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Would someone please tell Steven Joyce to stay away from diggers, spades and trowels this week, he has already dug himself into enough holes.
Go back to looking after the tea trolley as he seems best at that, no skill needed.

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Sorry Sarah, can't agree all the buyers got an 'absolute steal'.......the properties are in NORTHCOTE for goodness sake!!

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A metaphor for the Auckland property market with ramifications in this weekends elections.

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For once I agree with you Shane, most voters in Auckland I suggest own their own house and won't want to see this fall property values get pushed along further by Labour and the Greens!

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Northcote - that explains all the buyers being Twyford Listed

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I think that if we get a change of government next week house prices will fall because I read that the Greens want landlords to be subject to a WoF which in many cases will create a cash flow loss situation. Thus some landlords will sell their properties with vacant possession and toss out the tenants, reducing the availability of rental property and pushing up rents while putting more, generally low cost, houses on the market

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Um, ah, where or what is Northcote?

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I am left wondering if Stace & Yanita have a legal case to pursue The Block after the disgrace of the house making it back to have a 2nd go at an auction! I have never heard of that before!!! Wonder if the REAA is going to take a look?

Dig deeper and see the property also changed hands just a few months before with about $300K being pulled out as a profit. That surely ended any chance of a decent profit for the 4 couples in the show.

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Stacey and Yanita got stiffed on live television! How humiliating, well I guess that goes with the reality TV territory. Not to mention for all their labour and entrepreneurial spirit most of the contestants received around 48 cents an hour, feels like a Labour govt, is already in power.

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If we were living in a real world i'd pay $600-$700k for those townhouses with maybe a $40k premium for the view over the state housing. The owners of house 2 are going to need that pagola to hang on to when the sou'westers hurtling over the ridge, oh and good luck to the rear neighbours whose pool in now devoid of sun! Great entertainment.

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As far as entertainment goes, this is the culinary equivalent of a 2-day-old Big Mac heated up in a microwave. Junk heaped upon junk

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I am struggling to see how a softening housing market derails National.... it's Labour that has been campaigning on the idea of making houses affordable.

Doesn't this suggest the steps National have taken (purchasers must have an NZ IRD number) and the RBNZ (LVR restrictions) sufficiently cooled the market.

Seems like this is a blow to Labour who seem intent on wanting to pop a bubble that air has already been let out of.

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Interested in how the RBNZ, an independent entity, implementing LVRs in order to stabilise our economy is actually a measure introduced by National? Considering they are giving an outright "No" to debt-to-income ratios suggested by the RBNZ, I think you might have been led down the garden path a bit. And Auckland houses still at nosebleed 9-10x average wage is not a bubble that has has had the air "been let out of" it. Talk to me when it's a much more sane 5 or 6x the average wage!

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To suggest that the market has "sufficiently cooled" at a nosebleed-inducing 10x median income is lunacy.

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You're dreaming if you think the Nats have had any hand in slowing the housing madness. RBNZ (not National) put in LVRs, Aussie banks choked the frivolous lending domestically, and then there's that government from country X that reined in the wild investment, by it's citizens, in offshore assets.

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Mate...

The bubble popped back last year...National realised they had to do something, but delayed it in the hope the realistic prices didnt show up before the election. That is why the election is alittle early this time.

When the puppet master left; ie. Jonkey, it was the end of speculation. He has been the master of it, conned most including you, and NZ inc will be paying the price for some time to come. He's already left with the commision check.

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Regarding the block meltdown . It was foolhardy to go to Auction with the properties " unfinished ' ie without council code of compliance . Banks won't give preapproval .

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What makes you think the buyers would have any concerns about a 'preapproval' or a 'CCC'? They were all Chinese !!

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That was real reality TV. Only Chinese buyers can afford to buy Aucklands over hyped , over priced houses. The buyers may have been NZ born but unlikely. Unsurprising result when a economy of 1 billion odd people decided to invest in a country 0.05% their size. I didn't need a economics degree or hire research consultants to work out what the result would be and will continue to be. This is where National has really let NZ down , pity as the rest of the work they have done is very good.

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Fascinating, isn't it? Why just a mere 35 years ago all those Chinese were living in communes flinging their waste on the soil at night with barely a pot to piss in between them and now they are buying all your houses from right under your nose because you can't afford to.

So what have they been doing right that you have been doing so miserably wrong???

Let me think, not voting for Labour governments would certainly be one place to start! And on the matter of socialism - oops I mean social progressives - I don't think I need to Labour the point.

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What's the average wage of a person in China, Steve?

You might be overlooking some basics in your comment.

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A lot more than they were earning 35 years ago, that's for sure. Stop spinning in order to try and minimise the reality, it's not going to get you anywhere. Labour and socialism have done irreparable harm to this country and have seriously held our social and economic progress back. And in that, I include the generation of wealth and opportunity for our people.

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>"Stop spinning in order to try and minimise the reality"

Irony is good, sure.

The other basic you're overlooking - which you arguably should have realised from the average wage figure - is that you're comparing the elite few who have made enough to get out of the country (and in some cases, not honestly) with the average Kiwi. A more reality-based comparison of populations could be with high-earning expat Kiwis.

But sure...let's go with your view...in that case, National has performed much worse in fostering economic growth than the Chinese "communist" party. Despite even their close links. Except on the bubble fronts, perhaps.

All that aside, you'd think a person would be able to see the similarities between a left-leaning social democratic party (Labour) and the Chinese party.

But further undermining your point, it's not like Labour and National are particularly different these days. National is simply expanding Working for Families ("communism by stealth" as they called it) and the Accommodation Supplement (redistribution) rather than addressing the housing crisis.

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I was going to reply to Steve's comments in two words... slave-labor.

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Good point. Maybe we should roll with what Steve suggests and simply abandon safety standards, worker rights, etc. Much cheaper.

Why not go the whole hog and import slaves from Third World countries. Ah, whoops...we're already doing that in hospitality and some of agri.

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Some would say that we have to because our own people can't pass a drug test. I wonder if that's really true? If it is, what does that say about us as a people.

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It's not true, no. It's an oft-repeated piece of scapegoating used seemingly to foster antipathy toward beneficiaries and justify bringing in huge numbers of cheap workers:

http://www.radionz.co.nz/news/political/325553/tens-of-thousands-drug-te...

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They have been ignoring western world regulations, stealing technology, and undercutting everyone. Our excessive red tape prevents us from competing as even our own government and local councils spend offshore.. Now nationals answer is to sell everything that isn't bolted down, but you can o ly slaughter the sheep once.

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A lot of people won't like hearing it, but what you say is true. I think I'll get my house painted. Now I have two options, I'll go to a kiwi business that has to abide by all the regulations, and cost me a small fortune, or I'll find a group of Asians that'll do it for bugger all. Yeah I've got a hard choice there.

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If that was true why didn't John Key sell his $20m house to a Kiwi?

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Kiwis don't have any money. That was evident when watching the auction on the Block.

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What has the goverment got to do with pipeline - cannot wAit until the election is over so the media can perhaps then stop trying to link everything that goes on in NZ to Govt policy

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The Block:
Rules are rules. No.2 was passed in end of story. Stace and Yanita won.
Price - agree its a steal. Compare the asking price of new apartments in Takapuna etc. Nothing wrong with Northcote. 10 mins from CBD!
Bidders- proves Asians are hardworking and save their money. Overseas investors? Dont think so, no capital gain in the short term.
Come on locals, how often do you see young Asians at pubs and partying? They're all too busy working in their parents businesses and studying.

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Yes your right. Whenever I'm on an overseas holiday and I get a bit sick of the hordes of Asian tourists, I just head for a pub to get a bit of a break from them. You'll never see any in a pub, I wonder why? Shops on the other hand.

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The actor on the ph during the auction was a friend of mine & he was on ph with his parents to make a purchase of one of the houses. There was no acting going on.

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Good on you for sticking up for him. People too quick to judge sometimes.

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"opinion/block-nz’s-meltdown-illustrates-auckland-housing-market-better-any-reinz-data" Really ? IMHO it was just very accurate valuations setting bang on reserves. Any other house in the street on a full site is around 1 mil , here attached apartments 250m2 of shared drive and land are selling for 1.25 mil. At a rough guess the rest of the properties nearby have just bounced $500k !

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Allowing $2mil for the buildings , sold for $5.1 mil means that Section at 58 Potter Ave, Northcote, Auckland is now worth $3 million bucks!

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Properties were sold without a code of compliance as the build is not complete, i thought this needed to be disclosed at auction to potential buyers at the time of auction??

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An Auckland market only affordable to an Asian market who all needed interpreters. It was frightening to watch what's already happening in our country. Not a New Zealander in sight on The Block last night to bid. A sad situation for the contestants too. Awful.

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Affordability is simply a matter of degree. My widowed mum in-law is a frequent guest at SkyCity's *Baccarat Room*.....she was telling us that it's nothing to see any number of Asian players drop a mil or two on a hand.

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Most of the asians you saw in the room were most likely to be various Ray White Agents that were bidding on the buyers behalf . So to answer your question the buyers could have been any race . No Buyer of a Block property ever wants to be seen on television.

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Anyone who watchs crap tv like the block deserves to have their house confiscated.

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I noticed negative comments on the Block Facebook page were being deleted almost as fast as they appeared

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aha.......so the actor wasnt acting as an actor.........but he was acting on behalf.....so we are told.......its all an act.....read the face....

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- Av. Gas shortage - here's a thought ; what if Air NZ held in on site storage enough gas on hand to cover the possibility of a damaged pipeline (say 3 weeks and reviews this every few years) - would we be suffering flight disruptions?
- Proud to say I never watch reality TV and associated advertising, the headlines tell me all I need to know. incomes have not increased in real terms for aprox. 30 years, Auckland property has priced itself beyond reality for people who live and work in AK, Health is being underfunded and lives are being sacrificed as an acceptable consequence. Our country is being sold off very cheaply so the Nats can stay in Govt. While we export our educated and much indebted young. Some idiots are murdering people with synth cannabis and P for their own personal gain, if those in the know report them to the cops, problem over - its called social responsibility, If you witnessed a murder - would you call the cops? - I hope so , so whats the difference?.
- Labour is owned and controlled through its constitution by the Unions and can never free itself from their card voting control so its back to the 1970's if Taxinda wins by a smile and a platitude. its long past time for a non- union controlled new Labour.
- NZ is being invaded through immigration policy just as it was in the 1800's - get used to it. its either that or no jobs.
- Successive Govt.s buy Maori party support by giving away public assets and rights to un-elected Maori oligarchs just as USA has over the last 50 plus years given away public assets to those who now control Senate and Congress through generous donations. US Govt has no control over its security apparatus, the security apparatus instead controls US Govt. - an example of how short term political expediencies destroy democracy
- The green party should be renamed the Water Mellon party , when you scratch the surface, they are red and I don't mean Labour red and despite been green, they want to cover NZ with 1080 poison
- Regardless who wins, they all have their hidden agenda's you wont have voted for and MMP just makes it even worse.

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