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April trade surplus shrinks on lower dairy prices

New Zealand posted a smaller-than-expected surplus in April, reflecting a drop in the value of exports of milk powder, butter and cheese.

Hannah Lynch
Wed, 11 Jul 2018

BUSINESSDESK: New Zealand posted a smaller-than-expected surplus in April, reflecting a drop in the value of exports of milk powder, butter and cheese.

The trade surplus was $355 million last month, Statistics New Zealand says. Economists had expected a surplus of $500m, according a Reuters survey.

For the 12 months ended April, there was a trade deficit of $541m.

A decline in the value of dairy exports comes as Fonterra cut its forecast 2012 milk price and flagged lower payments in 2013.

Prices in Fonterra's GlobalDairyTrade auction have dropped 41% during the past 12 months, reflecting a slide in commodity prices as traders factor in weaker demand from China and European uncertainty, which has helped drive up the US dollar.

"Most commodities for exports fell this month, with primary products driving the decrease, although it should be noted that April 2011 had the highest exports value for any month on record so far,” industry and labour statistics manager Neil Kelly said.

Exports decreased to $3.89 billion in April from $4.21 billion in March, falling 17% from April 2011's record high of $4.69 billion.

Imports were $3.53 billion, down from $4.02 billion last month and little changed from a year earlier.

Exports of milk powder, butter and cheese fell by 25% last month, with the leading contributors' being unsweetened milk powder and anhydrous milk fat.

Meat and edible offal fell 26%, led by frozen cuts of lamb, while crude oil was down 51%. Casein and caseinates recorded the largest offsetting increase, up 36%.

Exports to Australia, the nation's biggest export partner, once again showed a decline, falling 13%, led by crude oil.

New Zealand's second biggest export market, China, also recorded a decrease, of 11%. Exports to Japan fell 20% on a variety of commodities, including logs, wood and wood articles.

Exports rose to Malaysia, the US and Libya.

A 21% gain in capital goods helped monthly imports edge up slightly from a year earlier.
 

Hannah Lynch
Wed, 11 Jul 2018
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April trade surplus shrinks on lower dairy prices
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