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Kiwi at 20-month high after Fed dissent over stimulus


Early release of minutes to the last Federal Reserve policy meeting show disagreement over the central bank's massive stimulus programme.

Paul McBeth
Wed, 11 Jul 2018

The New Zealand dollar climbed to a 20-month high against the greenback as equity markets rallied amid an early release of minutes to the last Federal Reserve policy meeting showing disagreement over the central bank's massive stimulus programme.

The kiwi gained to 85.74 US cents at 8am in Wellington from 85.24 cents yesterday, and the trade-weighted index extended its advance to 78.87 from 78.36.

Minutes from the March Federal Open Market Committee meeting were accidently released early in Washington, and showed some members preferred bringing the quantitative easing programme of $US85 billion in monthly asset purchases to an end earlier than others.

The flood of newly printed money from central banks has helped equity markets rally. The Standard & Poor's 500 index rose 1.2 percent on Wall Street.

"All of this money out there is getting fed into equities and yielding currencies. The kiwi, unfortunately, is going to have to take it on the chin," says Stuart Ive, currency strategist at HiFX in Auckland.

The currency may trade between 85.40 US cents and 86 cents today, with Australian employment figures the biggest risk today, he says.

Economists expect the figures will show Australia lost 7500 jobs last month, which may see the trans-Tasman currencies taper off, though Mr Ive expects any pull-back to be "shallow". The kiwi increased to 81.28 Australian cents from 81.10 cents yesterday.

Reserve Bank head of prudential supervision Toby Fiennes will give a speech on prudential safeguards and minimising risks in New Zealand's banking system today. The central bank is looking at introducing new macro-prudential tools to rein in asset bubbles, and has singled out housing as a potential risk.

The BNZ-BusinessNZ performance of manufacturing index and February accommodation survey are scheduled for release today.

The kiwi advanced to 85.52 yen from 84.47 yen yesterday after Bank of Japan governor Haruhiko Kuroda said his plan to double the monetary base in two years should be enough to stoke inflation to an annual 2 percent pace.

The local currency gained to 65.60 euro cents from 65.12 cents yesterday, and rose to 55.95 British pence from 55.60 pence.

(BusinessDesk)

Paul McBeth
Wed, 11 Jul 2018
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Kiwi at 20-month high after Fed dissent over stimulus
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