NZ dollar jumps as US rate hike bets pushed out after weak labour data

The New Zealand dollar jumped to its highest in a month after weak US labour market data pushed out expectations for US interest rate hikes and damped demand for the greenback.

The kiwi touched 69.67USc yesterday when local markets were closed for the Queen's Birthday public holiday. The local currency was trading at 69.23USc at 8am in Wellington, from 68.28USc on Friday. The trade-weighted index advanced to 73.90 from 73.62 on Friday.

The US dollar index, which measures the greenback against a basket of currencies, dropped sharply after US labour market data on Friday showed employers in the world's largest economy added just 38,000 workers in May, the lowest level since September 2010 and below the 164,000 expected by economists in a Reuters survey. That prompted traders to scale back their bets for imminent US interest rate hikes. Federal Reserve chairwoman Janet Yellen acknowledged in a speech yesterday that the jobs report was "disappointing." However, she said: "Further gradual increases in the federal funds rate are likely to be appropriate." Mrs Yellen didn't give a timeframe for hikes, in contrast to her speech last month when she noted hikes would probably be appropriate "in coming months."

"The US employment report was a shocker, with non-farm payrolls of 38,000 for May significantly undershooting market expectations and downward revisions to previous months," Bank of New Zealand currency strategist Jason Wong said in a note. "That one number effectively ruled out the Fed hiking in June and seriously diminished the chances of a July hike as well."

The Fed is due to review interest rates next week. The Reserve Bank of Australia reviews its policy today, with New Zealand's Reserve Bank reviewing its rates on Thursday.

In New Zealand today, first-quarter wholesale trade data is published at 10:45am.

The New Zealand dollar gained to 47.87 British pence from 47.39 pence on Friday after latest polling results showed support for Britain leaving the EU, ahead of a June 23 referendum.

The kiwi increased to ¥74.46 from ¥74.17 and rose to 4.5422 yuan from 4.4951 yuan. It slipped to 93.98Ac from 94.38Ac cents and declined to 60.92 euro cents from 61.19 cents.

(BusinessDesk)