1 mins to read

NZ dollar little changed through Christmas as greenback still in favour

Investors are backing the US on the expectation of rising interest rates.

Paul McBeth
Wed, 28 Dec 2016

The New Zealand dollar was little changed through the Christmas holiday period as investors continued to rally behind the greenback on the expectation of rising US interest rates.

The kiwi traded at 68.85USc as at 8am in Wellington from 68.79USc yesterday, and 68.77USc on Friday in New York. The trade-weighted index edged down to 76.98 from 77.09 last week.

The US dollar index has remained near 14-year highs, with investors optimistic US president-elect Donald Trump's infrastructure spending and tax plans will reinvigorate the world's biggest economy, and encourage the Federal Reserve to raise interest rates more aggressively. Stocks on Wall Street gained, with the tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite Index reaching a new record.

"On a technical basis, everything is moving sideways," says Martin Rudings, senior foreign exchange dealer at OMF in Wellington.

"The trend still remains intact and we're looking at a strong US dollar, so the kiwi should succumb to that."

The kiwi traded at 4.7852 Chinese yuan from 4.7767 yuan yesterday after China's state-owned media agency Xinhua reported the world's second-biggest economy will meet its growth target of 6.5-7%t this year and will target a rate of 6.5% in 2017.

Mr Rudings says that lower target for 2017 could weigh on Australia more than New Zealand, with both nations relying on China as their largest trading partner.

"New Zealand is in a slightly better place than Australia, and I can see the kiwi/Aussie cross rallying up towards 98 cents," he says. The local currency was little changed at 95.81Ac from 95.85Ac yesterday.

The kiwi traded at 65.85 euro cents from 65.91c yesterday, and was little changed at 56.09 UK pence from 56.07p. The local currency traded at ¥80.88 from ¥80.76 yesterday.

New Zealand's two-year swap rate slipped one basis point to 2.48% from the Friday close, while 10-year swaps were down one basis point to 3.55%.


Paul McBeth
Wed, 28 Dec 2016
© All content copyright NBR. Do not reproduce in any form without permission, even if you have a paid subscription.
NZ dollar little changed through Christmas as greenback still in favour