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Hot Topic EARNINGS
Hot Topic EARNINGS
Economics
3 mins to read

EY models worst-case scenarios from ongoing Iran war

In a prolonged crisis to Christmas, GDP could be about $2.9b lower, with household consumption down $6.3b, it says.

EY-Parthenon NZ director Adam Naiman.

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Modelling by EY New Zealand suggests prolonged disruption and the closure of the Strait of Hormuz could put a serious dent in economic activity this year.

The analysis from May, released today, found that under a contained disruption with a sharp price increase that eases by the end of July, New

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Jonathan Mitchell Thu, 04 Jun 2026
Contact the Writer: jmitchell@nbr.co.nz
News tip? Question? Typo? Let us know: editor@nbr.co.nz
© All content copyright NBR. Do not reproduce in any form without permission, even if you have a paid subscription.

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EY models worst-case scenarios from ongoing Iran war
Economics,
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