iPredict: National to pair up with NZ First
National will jump into bed with NZ First to win the next election, according to online predictions market iPredict.
National will jump into bed with NZ First to win the next election, according to online predictions market iPredict.
It says there's a 57% chance of a National prime minister after the 2014 election - up from below 50% since December and 47% last week.
However, iPredict says a National-led Government appears possible only with the support of Winston Peters' NZ First party.
That's according to the 6500 registered traders on New Zealand’s online predictions market, iPredict.
Recent polls have caused a dramatic change in National’s prospects.
iPredict now says John Key is almost certain to remain at the helm of National after the 2014 election, at 86%, while Labour leader David Shearer is deemed "safe", with a 60% chance he'll lead his party into the next election.
If Key bows out, Judith Collins is favoured to be National’s next leader, at 31%, while Grant Robertson is a 42% pick to head Labour if Shearer steps aside.
In next year's local body elections, iPredict puts Labour MP Lianne Dalziel at an 89% chance of standing for the Christchurch mayoralty, while Annette King has a 64% chance of bidding for Wellington's top civic job.
NBR staff
Wed, 25 Apr 2012
Wed, 25 Apr 2012
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iPredict: National to pair up with NZ First
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