iPredict reckons National will fall short of majority
iPredict puts National in box seat but falling short of parliamentary majority; Winston Peters given 40% chance of returning to parliament.
With only four days to go until the general election, iPredict is forecasting National to fail to secure a majority in parliament.
As currently forecast, parliament is expected to be comprised of 60 National MPs, 36 Labour MPs, 14 Green MPs, 4 Act MPs, 3 Mana MPs, 3 Maori Party MPs and the solitary Peter Dunne from UnitedFuture.
Such a result would require National to be support by one of the Greens, Act, Maori or UnitedFuture parties to form a government
The market for the return of New Zealand First to parliament is iPredict's most heavily traded and party leader Winston Peters is given a 40% chance of exceeding the 5% party vote threshold.
Matt Nippert
Tue, 22 Nov 2011
Tue, 22 Nov 2011
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iPredict reckons National will fall short of majority
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