The headline poll numbers look positive. Don't be fooled. Even on current numbers, Key is at serious risk of being fulltime on the golf course after September 20. Here's how it breaks down:
Matthew Hooton Sat, 12 Apr 2014
John Key has had a dream start to 2014.
The relationships he has forged with presidents Barack Obama and Xi Jinping are unprecedented, especially for the leader of a small country.
More fundamental is the economy. Whether the NZIER consensus forecast of 3.6% growth eventuates – and
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