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Mixed news for National in Whangarei poll

Shake up in fortunes in the seat where NZ First newcomer Shane Jones is targetting National's Shane Reti.

Sun, 27 Aug 2017

A 1 News-Colmar Brunton poll in Whangarei has mixed news for National.

The party's incumbent MP, Shane Reti, is comfortably ahead of NZ First's Shane Jones, but the margin is much closer than the 2014 election, when Dr Reti secured 55% of the vote, miles ahead of the next second and third-placed contenders, Labour's Kelly Ellis (18%) and NZ First's Pita Paraone (16%). There's a hint that Dr Reti could be in trouble if Labour and Green supporters cast a strategic vote.

Similarly, the poll's party vote rankings represent a big shakeup from 2014, when National got 50%, Labour 16% and New Zealand First 12%. 

It results suggest new Labour leader Jacinda Ardern has more appeal outside metro areas than some expected, while Shane Jones has not made the impact some anticipated.

The poll results:

Party support:

  • National: 41%,
  • Labour: 37%,
  • NZ First: 16%,
  • Green: 3.6%,
  • Maori Party 1.3%,
  • ACT 1.0%

Candidate support:

  • Reti (National): 42%
  • Jones (NZ First): 24%
  • Savage (Labour): 22%
  • Holwell (Green): 10%
  • Leitch (Democrats) 1.7%
  • Grieve (ACT) 0.1%

The poll was taken August 19 to 22 with respondents and a margin of error of +/- 4.4%.


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Mixed news for National in Whangarei poll