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National opens widest lead over Labour/Greens since 2011

NBR staff
Wed, 31 Jul 2013

A Roy Morgan Poll released today shows a large rise in support for National to 51% (up 4% since July 1-14, 2013).

Support for National's partners has changed little with the Maori Party 1.5% (down 0.5%), ACT  1% (up 0.5%) and United Future 0% (unchanged).

Support for Labour is 29% (down 2%); Greens are 10% (down 1.5%), New Zealand First 4% (down 0.5%), Mana Party 1% (down 0.5%), Conservative Party of NZ 1.5% (unchanged) and Others 1% (up 0.5%).

Biggest lead since election
“Today’s New Zealand Roy Morgan Poll contains further good news for governing National (51%, up 4%) now up for the fourth straight Morgan Poll and well ahead of Labour/ Greens (39%, down 3.5%). This is the biggest lead for National since the 2011 election," pollster Gary Morgan says.

“The boost for PM John Key comes as the New Zealand Dollar (NZD) hit a five-year high against the Australian Dollar (AUD) at just under 90c AUD and amid rising optimism about the prospects for the New Zealand economy. The ANZ-Roy Morgan New Zealand Consumer Confidence Rating is near a three year high at 119.8 in July while the ANZ Business Outlook shows business confidence at a 14 year high.”

58.5% (up 0.5%) of respondents said New Zealand is ‘heading in the right direction’ compared to 30% (up 0.5%) who said the country is ‘heading in the wrong direction’.

More pressure on Shearer
The poll will put more heat on Labour leader David Shearer, already facing coup rumours after similar numbers in other recent surveys.

One consolation for Mr Shearer: the phone poll of 824 electors was carried out July 15 to July 28, so largely missed Labour's new policy to place restrictions on foreign home buyers (announced July 28).

NBR staff
Wed, 31 Jul 2013
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National opens widest lead over Labour/Greens since 2011
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