The latest Roy Morgan Poll shows a jump in support for Prime Minister John Key’s National Party to 46.5% (up 2.5% since June 3-16, 2013). Support for Key’s Coalition partners is little changed with the Maori Party 1.5% (down 0.5%), ACT NZ 0% (down 0.5%) and United Future 0.5% (up 0.5%).
Support for Labour is 31.5% (down 1.5%); Greens are 13% (up 1.5%), New Zealand First 3.5% (down 2.5%), Mana Party 0.5% (down 0.5%), Conservative Party of NZ 2% (unchanged) and Others 1% (up 1%).
If a National Election were held now the latest New Zealand Roy Morgan Poll shows it would be too close to call.
The latest NZ Roy Morgan Government Confidence Rating is up 4.5pts to 125 with 57% (up 3%) of New Zealanders saying New Zealand is ‘heading in the right direction’ compared to 32% (down 1.5%) that say New Zealand is ‘heading in the wrong direction’.
Gary Morgan says, “Today’s New Zealand Roy Morgan Poll contains good news for governing National (46.5%, up 2.5%) now clearly ahead of a potential Labour/ Greens Coalition (44.5%, unchanged) despite the Opposition Labour Party easily retaining the Maori seat of Ikaroa-Rawhiti in a weekend by-election.
The Maori Party, who provide support to the National-led Government, finished a disappointing third, prompting the resignation, as leader, of Maori Party co-leader Pita Sharples, a position Sharples has held for nine years since July 2004.
“The Maori Party’s poor showing in the by-election prompted Labour Leader David Shearer to remark the Maori Party is ‘finished’ because its close relationship with National was destroying its credibility with voters and leading to increasing support for the Mana Party – which finished second in Ikaroa-Rawhiti.”
The poll was conducted by landline and mobile telephone, with a NZ wide cross-section of 971 electors from June 17-30, 2013. Of all electors surveyed a high 6% (unchanged) didn’t name a party.