iPredict suggests Rena response hurting government
Electronic tipping service sees 4% fall in support for National over past week, with Labour and Green parties gaining at the government's expense.
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Criticism of the government’s response to unfolding Rena disaster off Tauranga’s coast may cost the National Party 4% at the general election.
Recent movements on iPredict have National’s forecast party vote down from to 46% from 50%, with the Green and Labour parties the main benefactors.
Market movements on the electronic punting service have seen forecasts for Labour’s party vote increase from 28.5% to 21% in the past week and the Greens are now tipped to garner 11.1%.
The likelihood of Winton Peters returning to parliament has moved from marginal to possible with New Zealand First now predicted to get 4.7% of the party vote, perilously close to the 5% threshold.
Using iPredict party vote data, a Parliament is predicted to have 58 National MPs, 39 Labour MPs, 14 Green MPs, 4 Act MPs, 3 Maori Party MPs, 2 UnitedFuture MPs and just Hone Harawira representing Mana.
This result would deny National a majority and prevent it from governing alone.
Matt Nippert
Fri, 14 Oct 2011
Fri, 14 Oct 2011
© All content copyright NBR. Do not reproduce in any form without permission, even if you have a paid subscription.
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iPredict suggests Rena response hurting government
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